World Cup
Jul 1, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Atlanta Stadium
  • Jude Bellingham 19' yellowcard
  • Harry Kane  75' goal
  • Harry Kane  86' goal
  • goal Brian Cipenga 7'
  • yellowcard Noah Sadiki 27'
  • yellowcard Noah Sadiki 28'

England vs Congo DR - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

England

All competitions

Congo DR

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%) , while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result

England 65.1% (+0.10)
Draw 21.3% (-0.10)
Congo DR 13.65% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.95% (+0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.2% (+0.35)
Under 1.5 26.8% (-0.34)
Over 2.5 48.15% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 51.85% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 26.5% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 73.55% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 16.47% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 83.53% (-0.25)

England Goals

Over 1.5 55.79% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 44.21% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 29.25% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 70.75% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 12.55% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 87.45% (-0.16)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 44.64% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 55.36% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 14.15% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 85.85% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 3.24% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 96.76% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 0.61% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 99.39% (-0.04)

Score analysis

England 65.09%
Draw 21.29%
Congo DR 13.65%
England
1-0 @ 13.94% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 13.14% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.31% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.84% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 12.51% (+0.17)
Total : 65.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.31% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 21.29%
Congo DR
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.58% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.57% (+0.03)
Total : 13.65%

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