World Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 17, 2026 6.00pm
Houston Stadium

Portugal vs Congo DR - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Congo DR

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw has a probability of 22.75% and a win for Congo DR has a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.7%) , while for a Congo DR win it is 0-1 (6.01%).

Result

Portugal 60.05% (-0.06)
Draw 22.75% (+0.15)
Congo DR 17.2% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.6% (-0.61)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.04% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 25.96% (+0.52)
Over 2.5 49.35% (-0.70)
Under 2.5 50.65% (+0.70)
Over 3.5 27.55% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 72.45% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 16.37% (-0.42)
Under 4.5 83.63% (+0.41)

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 53.3% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 46.7% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 26.94% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 73.06% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 11.05% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 88.95% (+0.25)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 50.75% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 49.25% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 18.54% (-0.34)
Under 1.5 81.46% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 4.93% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 95.07% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 1.07% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 98.93% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Portugal 60.07%
Draw 22.76%
Congo DR 17.2%
Portugal
1-0 @ 12.8% (+0.27)
2-0 @ 11.45% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.06)
Other @ 10.97% (-0.23)
Total : 60.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.7% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.18% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 22.76%
Congo DR
0-1 @ 6.01% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.99% (-0.05)
Total : 17.2%