Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.68% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.31%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.34%) , while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.