International Friendlies
Apr 1, 2026 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Patrick Agyemang 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Tanner Tessmann 46' yellowcard
  • Max Arfsten 46' yellowcard
  • Joe Scally 67' yellowcard
  • Folarin Balogun 67' yellowcard
  • Brenden Aaronson 79' yellowcard
  • Cristian Roldán 79' yellowcard
  • Giovanni Reyna 79' yellowcard
  • Mark McKenzie 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Trincão 37'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 46'
  • yellowcard António Silva 46'
  • yellowcard João Félix 46'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 46'
  • yellowcard Rúben Neves 46'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 46'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 46'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceição 46'
  • goal João Félix 59'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 61'
  • yellowcard Renato Veiga 70'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 85'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Velho 85'

USA vs Portugal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 7.30pm
USA 2 - 5 Belgium

Portugal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 29, 2026 3.00am
Mexico 0 - 0 Portugal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for USA had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest USA win was 2-1 (6.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

USA 26.88% (-0.11)
Draw 23.53%
Portugal 49.59% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.37% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.34%
Under 1.5 18.66%
Over 2.5 60.19% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.81% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 37.83% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 62.17% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 23.07% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 76.93% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

USA 26.35%
Draw 39.48%
Portugal 34.18%

Team To Score First

USA 41.45%
No Goal 4.86% (+0.02)
Portugal 53.69% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 52.1%
Equal 8 11.96%
Under 8 35.94%
Over 9 40.44%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 47.9%
Over 10.5 30.01%
Under 10.5 69.99%

USA Goals

Over 1.5 33.29% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.71% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 13.06% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 86.94% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.45% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.55% (+0.04)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 80.36% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 19.64% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 52.22% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 47.78% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 26.58% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 73.42% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.07% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 88.93% (-0.03)

Score analysis

USA 26.89%
Draw 23.53%
Portugal 49.6%
USA
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 5.63%
2-0 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.09% (-0.05)
Total : 26.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.53%
Portugal
1-2 @ 9.57% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.19% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.25% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.75%
Other @ 10.71% (+0.04)
Total : 49.6%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 14, 2017 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
  • Antunes 31' goal
  • goal Weston McKennie 21'
World Cup
Jun 22, 2014 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Amazonia, Manaus
  • Jermaine Jones 64' goal
  • Jermaine Jones 75' yellowcard
  • Clint Dempsey 81' goal
  • goal Nani 5'
  • goal Silvestre Varela 90'+5'