Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 30, 2025 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Nathanael Mbuku 31'
  • goal Gael Kakuta 41'
  • goal Gael Kakuta 60'

Botswana vs Congo DR - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
Benin 1 - 0 Botswana

Congo DR

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Senegal 1 - 1 Congo DR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 41.08%. A draw had a probability of 30.35% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 28.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%) , while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Botswana 28.57% (-0.09)
Draw 30.35% (-0.09)
Congo DR 41.08% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.92% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 32.91% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 67.09% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 14.67% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 85.32% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 5.46% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 94.54% (-0.08)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 58.95% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 41.05% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 22.4% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 77.6% (-0.05)

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5 67.72% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 32.27% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 31.23% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 68.77% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Botswana 28.57%
Draw 30.34%
Congo DR 41.08%
Botswana
1-0 @ 11.79% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 5.94% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.76% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 28.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 13.24% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.34%
Congo DR
0-1 @ 14.98% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 8.47% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.54% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.19% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.84% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.27% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.08%