Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 41.08%. A draw had a probability of 30.35% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 28.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%) , while for a Botswana win it was 1-0 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.