International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 6.45pm
Estádio Nacional

Portugal vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 12.00am
USA 0 - 2 Portugal

Chile

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 30, 2026 7.00am
New Zealand 4 - 1 Chile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 79.03%. A draw has a probability of 14.48% and a win for Chile has a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.69%) and 3-0 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.44%) , while for a Chile win it is 0-1 (2.64%).

Result

Portugal 79.03% (-0.02)
Draw 14.48% (-0.02)
Chile 6.47% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.81% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.41% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.59% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.2% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 39.8% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 40.72% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 59.28% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 31.24% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 68.76% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Portugal 65.45% (+0.04)
Draw 27.1% (-0.03)
Chile 7.45%

Team To Score First

Portugal 80.51%
No Goal 5.25% (-0.01)
Chile 14.24% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 67.34% (+0.14)
Equal 8 10.34% (-0.01)
Under 8 22.31% (-0.14)
Over 9 55.94% (+0.13)
Equal 9 11.4% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.66% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 44.45% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 55.55% (-0.11)

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 70.8% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 29.2% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 47.39% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 52.61% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 27.23% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.77% (-0.10)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5 32.31%
Under 0.5 67.69%
Over 1.5 9.14% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 90.86% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 2.11% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 97.89% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.53%
Under 3.5 99.47%

Score analysis

Portugal 79.03%
Draw 14.48%
Chile 6.48%
Portugal
2-0 @ 12.99%
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 10.61% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.44% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.65%
3-2 @ 2.51%
Other @ 27.14% (+0.09)
Total : 79.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.44% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.31% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 14.48%
Chile
0-1 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 6.48%

Head to Head

Confederations Cup
Jun 28, 2017 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • William Carvalho 31' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 43' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 96' yellowcard
  • Bruno Alves 111' yellowcard
  • Alves Cedric 115' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Jara 23'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 51'