/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fporlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fchilog.png)
-
Rafael Leão
45'+2'
-
Gonçalo Guedes
58'
-
Bruno Fernandes
75'
-
Iván Román
45'+2'
-
Lucas Cepeda
90'+2'
Portugal vs Chile - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F10%2Fronaldo-68eea576dac27770060717.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F10%2Fzuma-press-wire-cristiano-ronaldo-of-portugal-reacts-after-missing-a-penalty-on-october-11-2025-68eac2b1af892865542487.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 78.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.66% and a win for Chile had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 3-0 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%) , while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result
Portugal
78.61%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
14.66%
▲
(+0.02)
Chile
6.71%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
40.26%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.02%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
19.98%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
59.37%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
40.63%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
39.76%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
60.24%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 4.5
30.52%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 4.5
69.48%
▼
(-0.10)
First Half Winner
Portugal
61.39%
Draw
29.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Chile
8.65%
▲
(+0.09)
Team To Score First
Portugal
78.78%
▼
(-0.07)
No Goal
5.35%
Chile
15.87%
▲
(+0.06)
Corners
Over 8
67.47%
▼
(-0.22)
Equal 8
9.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 8
22.68%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 9
56.64%
▼
(-0.22)
Equal 9
10.83%
Under 9
32.53%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 10.5
45.69%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 10.5
54.31%
▲
(+0.20)
Portugal Goals
Over 1.5
70.01%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
29.99%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
46.56%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
53.44%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
26.72%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
73.28%
▼
(-0.10)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5
32.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
67.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
9.05%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
90.95%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
1.83%
Under 2.5
98.17%
Over 3.5
0.42%
Under 3.5
99.58%
Score analysis
Portugal
78.59%
Draw
14.68%
Chile
6.73%
Portugal
2-0
@
13.02%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 10.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.47%
Other @ 26.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 78.59%
1-0 @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 10.58% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.47%
Other @ 26.71% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 78.59%
Draw
1-1
@
6.67%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35%
2-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 14.68%
0-0 @ 5.35%
2-2 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 14.68%
Chile
0-1
@
2.81%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 6.73%
1-2 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 6.73%
