Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.84% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%) , while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.