International Friendlies
Jun 10, 2026 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
  • Pedro Neto  23' goal
  • João Félix 71' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceição 75' goal
  • Samú Costa 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Onyemaechi 19'
  • goal Akor Adams 37'
  • yellowcard Zaidu Sanusi 90'+3'

Portugal vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 6, 2026 6.45pm
Portugal 2 - 1 Chile

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 3, 2026 7.45pm
Poland 2 - 2 Nigeria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.84% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%) , while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Portugal 62.92% (-0.09)
Draw 21.84% (-0.22)
Nigeria 15.24% (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.83% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.85% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.15% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.45% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.55% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 32.17% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 67.83% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 20.76% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.24% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Portugal 43.92% (-0.18)
Draw 39.77% (-0.10)
Nigeria 16.32% (+0.27)

Team To Score First

Portugal 63.36% (+0.15)
No Goal 6.8% (-0.04)
Nigeria 29.84% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 45.13% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.14% (+0.04)
Under 8 43.73% (-0.08)
Over 9 34.81% (+0.02)
Equal 9 10.32% (+0.04)
Under 9 54.87% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 25.97% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 74.03% (+0.02)

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 57.19% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 42.81% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 30.79% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 69.21% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 13.83% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 86.17% (+0.11)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 48.39% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 51.61% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 19.09% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 80.91% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 5.46% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 94.54% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 1.57% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 98.43% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Portugal 62.92%
Draw 21.83%
Nigeria 15.25%
Portugal
1-0 @ 12.56% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.6% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 13.67% (-0.09)
Total : 62.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 21.83%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 4.79%
1-2 @ 3.87% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 2.19% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.41% (+0.07)
Total : 15.25%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2022 6.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Nacional
  • Bruno Fernandes 9' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 35' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 82' goal
  • Joao Mario 84' goal
Under-20s World Cup
Jun 21, 2013 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Abduljaleel Ajagun 0' goal
  • goal Bruma 0'
  • goal Aladje 0'