International Friendlies
Jun 10, 2026 8.45pm
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa

Portugal vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Apr 1, 2026 12.00am
USA 0 - 2 Portugal

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 3, 2026 7.45pm
Poland 2 - 2 Nigeria

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Portugal win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw has a probability of 22.02% and a win for Nigeria has a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.05%) , while for a Nigeria win it is 0-1 (4.61%).

Result

Portugal 63.65% (-0.04)
Draw 22.02% (+0.02)
Nigeria 14.33% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.08% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.21% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 23.79% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 52.62% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 47.38% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.78% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.22% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.6%
Under 4.5 79.4%

First Half Winner

Portugal 45.35% (+0.08)
Draw 38.38% (+0.02)
Nigeria 16.27% (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Portugal 63.89% (+0.14)
No Goal 6.67% (-0.01)
Nigeria 29.44% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 48.86% (-0.08)
Equal 8 10.76% (-0.01)
Under 8 40.38% (+0.09)
Over 9 38.57% (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.29% (-0.02)
Under 9 51.14% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 29.46% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 70.54% (+0.06)

Portugal Goals

Over 1.5 57.63% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 42.37% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 31.52% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 68.48% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 14.36% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 85.64% (-0.02)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 47.66% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 52.34% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 18.09% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 81.91% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.81% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 95.19% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 1.25% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.75% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Portugal 63.65%
Draw 22.03%
Nigeria 14.33%
Portugal
1-0 @ 12.52% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.46% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11%
3-0 @ 7.45%
3-1 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 14.25% (-0.01)
Total : 63.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.11% (+0.03)
Total : 22.03%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 4.61% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.79% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Total : 14.33%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Nov 17, 2022 6.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Nacional
  • Bruno Fernandes 9' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 35' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 82' goal
  • Joao Mario 84' goal
Under-20s World Cup
Jun 21, 2013 7.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Abduljaleel Ajagun 0' goal
  • goal Bruma 0'
  • goal Aladje 0'