International Friendlies
Jun 3, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion Slaski

Poland vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 31, 2026 4.30pm
Poland 0 - 2 Ukraine

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 26, 2026 7.30pm
Nigeria 2 - 0 Zimbabwe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poland win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Nigeria has a probability of 34.95% and a draw has a probability of 26.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Nigeria win is 0-1 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.98%).

Result

Poland 39.03% (-0.15)
Draw 26.06% (+0.04)
Nigeria 34.95% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.79% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.21% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 49.64% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 50.32% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.89% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 72.11% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.46% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.54% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Poland 30.23% (-0.04)
Draw 44.29% (-0.01)
Nigeria 25.48% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Poland 48.81% (-0.16)
No Goal 7.65% (+0.04)
Nigeria 43.54% (+0.14)

Corners

Over 8 42.76% (-0.15)
Equal 8 12.14% (-0.02)
Under 8 45.11% (+0.18)
Over 9 31.78% (-0.12)
Equal 9 10.97% (-0.04)
Under 9 57.24% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 22.65% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 77.35% (+0.08)

Poland Goals

Over 1.5 38.38% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 61.62% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 15.58% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 84.42% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 5.1% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 94.9% (+0.06)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 68.41% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 31.59% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 34.99% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 65.01% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 13.5% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 86.5% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 4.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.71% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Poland 39.03%
Draw 26.06%
Nigeria 34.95%
Poland
1-0 @ 9.56% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.5% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 5% (-0.05)
Total : 39.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.65% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.06%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 9.04% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.89% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.66% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.19% (+0.03)
Total : 34.95%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2018 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jacek Goralski 48' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Obi 58'
  • goal Victor Moses 61'