Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 10, 2026 4.00pm
Stade de Marrakech

Algeria vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Algeria

All competitions

Nigeria

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Algeria win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Nigeria has a probability of 30.35% and a draw has a probability of 27.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Nigeria win is 0-1 (10.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).

Result

Algeria 41.7% (+41.70)
Draw 27.95% (+27.95)
Nigeria 30.35% (+30.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.1% (+47.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.62% (+67.62)
Under 1.5 32.38% (+32.39)
Over 2.5 41.5% (+41.50)
Under 2.5 58.5% (+58.50)
Over 3.5 21.15% (+21.15)
Under 3.5 78.85% (+78.85)
Over 4.5 10.75% (+10.75)
Under 4.5 89.25% (+89.25)

Algeria Goals

Over 1.5 36.04% (+36.04)
Under 1.5 63.96% (+63.96)
Over 2.5 13.81% (+13.81)
Under 2.5 86.19% (+86.19)
Over 3.5 4.23% (+4.24)
Under 3.5 95.77% (+95.77)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 62.23% (+62.23)
Under 0.5 37.77% (+37.78)
Over 1.5 27.38% (+27.38)
Under 1.5 72.62% (+72.62)
Over 2.5 8.97% (+8.98)
Under 2.5 91.03% (+91.03)
Over 3.5 2.37% (+2.37)
Under 3.5 97.63% (+97.63)

Score analysis

Algeria 41.71%
Draw 27.95%
Nigeria 30.34%
Algeria
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.93%
3-1 @ 3.57%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 4.16% (+4.16)
Total : 41.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.07% (+0.08)
Total : 27.95%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 10.08%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.3% (+2.30)
Total : 30.34%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 27, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Olympique de Radès
  • Riyad Mahrez 41' goal
  • Youcef Atal 61' goal
  • goal Terem Moffi 9'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jul 14, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
  • William Troost-Ekong 40' goal
  • Baghdad Bounedjah 52' yellowcard
  • Sofiane Feghouli 68' yellowcard
  • Aissa Mandi 71' yellowcard
  • Riyad Mahrez 95' goal
  • goal Odion Ighalo 72'
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 88'