Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 31, 2025 at 4pm UK

Eq Guinea
1 - 3
Algeria

Nsue (50')
Salvador (54'), Ganet (83'), Joel Akogo Esono Nchama (83'), (84'), Anieboh (89')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Belaid (19'), Chaibi (25'), Maza (32')
Hadj Moussa (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Equatorial Guinea and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-3 Algeria
Wednesday, December 31 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Algeria

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-3 Algeria
Wednesday, December 31 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Algeria win with a probability of 62.65%. A draw has a probability of 23.83% and a win for Equatorial Guinea has a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.12%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.52%) , while for a Equatorial Guinea win it is 1-0 (6.35%).

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Algeria
13.52% ( -2.04)	23.83% ( -1.25)	62.65% ( 3.3)

Both teams to score 37.24% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.68% (

0.93)

60.32% (

-0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.52% (

0.7)

80.48% (

-0.7)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.03% (

-2.49)

53.97% (

2.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.74% (

-1.59)

87.26% (

1.6)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91% (

1.63)

19.09% (

-1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.3% (

2.64)

50.69% (

-2.64)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 13.52%

Algeria 62.64%

Draw 23.83%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.73) 2-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.39) Other @ 1.96% Total : 13.52%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.62) 0-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 17.06% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 14.12% ( 0.91) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.87) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.5) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.36% Total : 62.64%