Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 31, 2025 at 4pm UK

Eq Guinea
vs.
Algeria

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Equatorial Guinea and Algeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-1 Eq Guinea
Wednesday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Sudan
Sunday, December 28 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Algeria

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Algeria 3-0 Sudan
Wednesday, December 24 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Algeria vs. Burkina Faso
Sunday, December 28 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Algeria win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw has a probability of 22.83% and a win for Equatorial Guinea has a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Algeria win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (14.38%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Equatorial Guinea win it is 1-0 (5.88%).

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Algeria
12.69% ( -1.31)	22.83% ( -0.51)	64.49% ( 1.83)

Both teams to score 37.68% (

-1.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.52% (

-0.53)

58.48% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.94% (

-0.42)

79.06% (

0.42)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.8% (

-2.43)

54.2% (

2.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.6% (

-1.54)

87.4% (

1.54)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27% (

0.46)

17.73% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

0.79)

48.39% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 12.69%

Algeria 64.48%

Draw 22.83%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.36) 2-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.24) Other @ 1.88% Total : 12.69%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.27) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.83%	0-1 @ 16.62% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 14.38% ( 0.71) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 8.29% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 3.59% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.13) 0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.73% Total : 64.48%