Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2024 at 1pm UK

Nuevo Estadio de Malabo

Eq Guinea
0 - 0
Algeria

Junior Hanza Meha (90+4')

Amine Madani (67'), Mahrez (67'), Zerrouki (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Equatorial Guinea and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Liberia 1-2 Eq Guinea
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Algeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 0-1 Algeria
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Algeria
22.46% ( 0)	27.47% ( 0)	50.07% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.48% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.4% (

-0.01)

61.6% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56% (

-0.01)

81.44% (

0.01)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.52% (

-0)

43.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.31% (

-0)

79.69% (

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

-0.01)

24.85% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.55% (

-0.01)

59.45% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 22.46%

Algeria 50.07%

Draw 27.47%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 9% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.22% 2-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.46%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 15.04% 0-2 @ 10.47% 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 50.07%