Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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Dorian Junior Hanza Meha
90'+4'
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Mohamed Amine Madani
67'
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Riyad Mahrez
67'
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Ramiz Zerrouki
90'+4'
Equatorial Guinea vs Algeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Equatorial Guinea
22.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
27.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Algeria
50.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
42.48%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
38.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
61.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
18.56%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
81.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
7.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
92.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5
56.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
43.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
20.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
79.69%
▲
(+0.01)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5
75.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
24.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
40.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
59.45%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Equatorial Guinea
22.46%
Draw
27.47%
Algeria
50.07%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0
@
9%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.46%
2-1 @ 5.22%
2-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.46%
Draw
1-1
@
12.53%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.47%
0-0 @ 10.8%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.47%
Algeria
0-1
@
15.04%
0-2 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 50.07%
0-2 @ 10.47%
1-2 @ 8.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 50.07%
