Africa Cup of Nations Gameweek 2
Dec 28, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Mohamed V
  • Pepin 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Pepín Machín 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Carlos Akapo 87' yellowcard
  • Josete Miranda 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Walieldin Khidir Safour Daiyeen 16'
  • yellowcard Walieldin Khidir 16'
  • yellowcard Sheddy Barglan 41'
  • yellowcard Monged Abuzaid 71'
  • yellowcard 72'
  • yellowcard Monged Abuzaid 72'
  • yellowcard Monged Elneel 72'
  • goal Saul Coco 74' (OG)
  • goal Saúl Coco 74' (OG)

Equatorial Guinea vs Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 24, 2025 12.30pm
Burkina Faso 2 - 1 Eq Guinea

Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 24, 2025 3.00pm
Algeria 3 - 0 Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 30.01% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.68%) , while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result

Equatorial Guinea 49.21% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 30.01% ▲ (+0.14)
Sudan 20.78% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.21% ▼ (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 30.12% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 2.5 69.88% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 3.5 12.84% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 3.5 87.16% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 4.5 4.56% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 95.44% ▲ (+0.10)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 70.77% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 29.24% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 34.81% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 65.19% ▲ (+0.31)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 49.76% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 50.24% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 15.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 84.82% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Equatorial Guinea 49.2%
Draw 30%
Sudan 20.78%
Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 18.06% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 11.1% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.13% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 49.2%
Draw
0-0 @ 14.68% ▲ (+0.17)
1-1 @ 12.43%
2-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 30%
Sudan
0-1 @ 10.11% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 20.78%