Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Dec 28, 2025 at 3pm UK

Eq Guinea
0 - 1
Sudan

Pepin (45+3'), Akapo (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coco (74' og.)
Khidir Safour Daiyeen (16'), Barglan (41'), Abuzaid (71'), (72'), Abuzaid (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Equatorial Guinea and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-1 Sudan
Sunday, December 28 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Eq Guinea vs. Algeria
Wednesday, December 31 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Sudan

All competitions

This competition

Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-1 Sudan
Sunday, December 28 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Next Game: Sudan vs. Burkina Faso
Wednesday, December 31 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 49.21%. A draw had a probability of 30.01% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.68%) , while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Sudan
49.21% ( -0.17)	30.01% ( 0.14)	20.78% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 35.21% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.12% (

-0.31)

69.88% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.84% (

-0.2)

87.16% (

0.2)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.77% (

-0.24)

29.24% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

-0.3)

65.19% (

0.31)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.76% (

-0.15)

50.24% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.18% (

-0.11)

84.82% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Equatorial Guinea 49.2%

Sudan 20.78%

Draw 30%

Equatorial Guinea	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 18.06% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.26% Total : 49.2%	0-0 @ 14.68% ( 0.17) 1-1 @ 12.43% 2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 30%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.78%