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Africa Cup of Nations

Equatorial Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Dec 28, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Sudan national football team

Eq Guinea
vs.
Sudan

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage clash between Equatorial Guinea and Sudan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Last Game: Madagascar 2-0 Eq Guinea
Monday, November 17 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Burkina Faso vs. Eq Guinea
Wednesday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Sudan

All competitions
Last Game: Oman 2-0 Sudan
Friday, November 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Algeria vs. Sudan
Wednesday, December 24 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 43%. A draw has a probability of 30.65% and a win for Sudan has a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (14.04%) , while for a Sudan win it is 0-1 (11.55%).

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawSudan
43% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)30.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)26.35% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 38.15% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)68.67% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)86.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01% (-0.012 -0.01)31.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.012 -0.01)68.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.08% (0.039000000000001 0.04)43.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.95% (0.032 0.03)80.05% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 43%
    Sudan 26.34%
    Draw 30.64%
Equatorial GuineaDrawSudan
1-0 @ 16.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.51%
3-0 @ 3.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 43%
0-0 @ 14.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-1 @ 13.17%
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 30.64%
0-1 @ 11.55%
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.34%