World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 28
Mar 26, 2026 7.45pm
Stadion Narodowy

Poland vs Albania - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Albania

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poland win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Albania has a probability of 27.5% and a draw has a probability of 26.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Albania win is 0-1 (8.07%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

Poland 46.03%
Draw 26.47% (+0.03)
Albania 27.5% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.45% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.78% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 27.22% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 48.22% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 51.78% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 26.52% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 73.48% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 14.66% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.34% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Poland 34.72%
Draw 42.66%
Albania 22.62%

Team To Score First

Poland 52.95% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.91% (+0.04)
Albania 39.14% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 46.3%
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 42.07%
Over 9 35.47%
Equal 9 10.83%
Under 9 53.7%
Over 10.5 26.16%
Under 10.5 73.84%

Poland Goals

Over 1.5 42.9% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.1% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.6% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 81.4% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.63% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 93.37% (+0.03)

Albania Goals

Over 0.5 62.39% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 37.61% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 28.21% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 71.79% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 9.67% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 90.33% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.66% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.34% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Poland 46.04%
Draw 26.47%
Albania 27.49%
Poland
1-0 @ 11.24% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 7.96% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38%
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 6.5% (-0.02)
Total : 46.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.91% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.47%
Albania
0-1 @ 8.07% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.53% (-0.03)
Total : 27.49%

Head to Head

Euro Champ Qualifying
Sep 10, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 1
FT Air Albania Stadium
  • Jasir Asani 37' goal
  • Sokol Cikalleshi 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Kristjan Asllani 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Thomas Strakosha 59' yellowcard
  • Mirlind Daku 62' goal
  • Mirlind Daku 63' yellowcard
  • Frederic Veseli 65' yellowcard
  • Arbnor Muja 75' yellowcard
  • Taulant Sulejmanov 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 8'
  • goal Jakub Kiwior 21'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kaminski 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Bereszynski 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Grzegorz Krychowiak 60'
  • yellowcard Tomasz Kedziora 79'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Wieteska 88'
Euro Champ Qualifying
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Karol Swiderski 41' goal
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ardian Ismajli 34' yellowcard
  • Elseid Hysaj 49' yellowcard
  • Edoardo Reja 65' yellowcard
  • Ylber Ramadani 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Buksa 39'
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 50'
  • goal Karol Swiderski 77'
  • yellowcard Tymoteusz Puchacz 90'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Robert Lewandowski 12' goal
  • Adam Buksa 44' goal
  • Grzegorz Krychowiak 54' goal
  • Karol Swiderski 82' yellowcard
  • Jan Bednarek 86' yellowcard
  • Karol Linetty 89' goal
  • yellowcard Amir Abrashi 4'
  • yellowcard Keidi Bare 7'
  • yellowcard Elseid Hysaj 11'
  • goal Sokol Cikalleshi 25'
  • yellowcard Klaus Gjasula 54'
  • yellowcard Rey Manaj 65'