International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 4.30pm
Tarczyński Arena

Poland vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Ukraine

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Ukraine 1 - 0 Albania

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poland win with a probability of 52.22%. A win for Ukraine has a probability of 24.22% and a draw has a probability of 23.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Ukraine win is 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.51%).

Result

Poland 52.22% (+0.01)
Draw 23.56% (+0.05)
Ukraine 24.22% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.4% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.72% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 19.28% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 59.28% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 40.72% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 36.83% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 63.17% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 22.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.56% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Poland 37.93% (+0.15)
Draw 40.66% (-0.10)
Ukraine 21.4% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Poland 56.2% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.03% (+0.03)
Ukraine 38.77% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.1% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.6% (-0.01)
Under 8 32.3%
Over 9 44.43% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 43.9% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 33.65%
Under 10.5 66.35%

Poland Goals

Over 1.5 53.88% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.12% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 27.4% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 72.6% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 11.71% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 88.29% (+0.03)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 62.47% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 37.53% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 30.49% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 69.51% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 11.15% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 88.85% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 3.45%
Under 3.5 96.55%

Score analysis

Poland 52.22%
Draw 23.55%
Ukraine 24.22%
Poland
2-1 @ 10.2% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 8.74% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 7.75% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.66% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.76% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.34% (-0.02)
Total : 52.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.03% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.55%
Ukraine
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.06)
0-1 @ 5.5% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 24.22%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 1
FT Stadion Slaski
  • Sebastian Walukiewicz 11' goal
  • Piotr Zielinski 16' goal
  • Taras Romanczuk 30' goal
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 41'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Tymchyk 49'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Malinovskyi 56'
  • yellowcard Maksym Talovierov 86'
International Friendlies
Nov 11, 2020 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Slaski
  • Krzysztof Piatek 40' goal
  • Jacek Goralski 44' yellowcard
  • Jakub Moder 63' goal
  • yellowcard Ihor Kharatin 61'
International Friendlies
Mar 31, 2020 7.45pm
European Championship
Jun 21, 2016 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Ruslan Rotan 25' yellowcard
  • Olexandr Kucher 38' yellowcard
  • goal Jakub Blaszczykowski 54'
  • yellowcard Bartosz Kapustka 60'
World Cup
Oct 11, 2013 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Taras Stepanenko 3' yellowcard
  • Edmar 8' yellowcard
  • Yaroslav Rakitskiy 55' yellowcard
  • Andriy Yarmolenko 64' goal
  • Yevhen Khacheridi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Slawomir Peszko 79'
  • yellowcard Wojciech Sczcesny 82'
World Cup
Mar 22, 2013 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 3
FT
  • Lukasz Piszczek 0' goal
  • goal Andriy Yarmolenko 0'
  • goal Oleh Gusev 0'
  • goal Roman Zozulya 0'