World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 28
Mar 26, 2026 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
  • Roman Yaremchuk 60' yellowcard
  • Oleg Ocheretko 60' yellowcard
  • Oleksiy Gutsulyak 60' yellowcard
  • Matviy Ponomarenko 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Mykola Shaparenko 85' yellowcard
  • Matviy Ponomarenko 90' goal
  • goal Viktor Gyökeres 6'
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 37'
  • goal Viktor Gyökeres 51'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyökeres 73'
  • yellowcard 77'
  • yellowcard Daniel Svensson 77'
  • yellowcard Lucas Bergvall  77'
  • yellowcard Daniel Svensson 78'
  • yellowcard Mattias Svanberg 90'+4'

Ukraine vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions

Sweden

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sweden win was 0-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result

Ukraine 39.99% (+0.04)
Draw 25.82%
Sweden 34.19% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.02% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.05% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.95% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.37%
Under 2.5 47.63%
Over 3.5 30.49%
Under 3.5 69.51% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.13%
Under 4.5 82.87%

First Half Winner

Ukraine 28.92%
Draw 42.08%
Sweden 29%

Team To Score First

Ukraine 46.25%
No Goal 6.55%
Sweden 47.2%

Corners

Over 8 49.33%
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 39.01%
Over 9 38.2%
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 50.67%
Over 10.5 28.41%
Under 10.5 71.59%

Ukraine Goals

Over 1.5 40.67% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.33% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.29% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 82.71% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.98%
Under 3.5 94.02%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 69.06% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.94% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.95% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 64.05% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 14.47% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.53% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.76% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.24% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Ukraine 39.99%
Draw 25.83%
Sweden 34.19%
Ukraine
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.38% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.11% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75%
Other @ 5.74%
Total : 39.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.28% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.83%
Sweden
0-1 @ 8.24%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 2.37%
Other @ 4.52% (-0.02)
Total : 34.19%

Head to Head

European Championship
Jun 29, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
ET Hampden Park
  • Emil Forsberg 43' goal
  • Dejan Kulusevski 69' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 85' yellowcard
  • Marcus Danielsson 98' redcard
  • goal Oleksandr Zinchenko 27'
  • yellowcard Andriy Yarmolenko 79'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 120'+1'
  • yellowcard Artem Dovbyk 120'+1'
European Championship
Jun 11, 2012 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT