World Cup Qualifying - Europe Gameweek 28
Mar 26, 2026 7.45pm
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Ukraine vs Sweden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions

Sweden

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ukraine win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Sweden has a probability of 34.22% and a draw has a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Sweden win is 0-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.03%).

Result

Ukraine 39.96% (+0.11)
Draw 25.82% (-0.04)
Sweden 34.22% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.06% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.04% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 23.96% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.37% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.63% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.49% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 69.48%
Over 4.5 17.13% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.87% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Ukraine 28.92%
Draw 42.08%
Sweden 29%

Team To Score First

Ukraine 46.25%
No Goal 6.55%
Sweden 47.2%

Corners

Over 8 49.33%
Equal 8 11.66%
Under 8 39.01%
Over 9 38.2%
Equal 9 11.13%
Under 9 50.67%
Over 10.5 28.41%
Under 10.5 71.59%

Ukraine Goals

Over 1.5 40.63% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.37% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 17.26% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 82.74% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.98% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.02% (-0.03)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 69.07% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 30.93% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 35.97% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 64.03% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 14.48% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 85.52% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.77% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.23% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Ukraine 39.97%
Draw 25.82%
Sweden 34.22%
Ukraine
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.16% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.1% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75%
Other @ 5.74% (+0.03)
Total : 39.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.82%
Sweden
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.53% (-0.02)
Total : 34.22%

Head to Head

European Championship
Jun 29, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
ET Hampden Park
  • Emil Forsberg 43' goal
  • Dejan Kulusevski 69' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 85' yellowcard
  • Marcus Danielsson 98' redcard
  • goal Oleksandr Zinchenko 27'
  • yellowcard Andriy Yarmolenko 79'
  • goal Artem Dovbyk 120'+1'
  • yellowcard Artem Dovbyk 120'+1'
European Championship
Jun 11, 2012 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT