/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fswelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fpollog.png)
-
Anthony Elanga
19'
-
Gustaf Lagerbielke
44'
-
Besfort Zeneli
69'
-
Lucas Bergvall
69'
-
Gustav Lundgren
81'
-
Viktor Gyökeres
88'
-
Mattias Svanberg
90'+2'
-
Nicola Zalewski
33'
-
Karol Świderski
55'
-
Oskar Pietuszewski
63'
-
Kamil Grosicki
90'+1'
-
Krzysztof Piatek
90'+2'
Sweden vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Poland had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result
Sweden
48.11%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
22.75%
▼
(-0.04)
Poland
29.12%
Both Teams to Score:
60.74%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
82.69%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
17.31%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
62.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
37.61%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
39.81%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
60.19%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
24.74%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
75.26%
▼
(-0.07)
First Half Winner
Sweden
40.26%
Draw
37.4%
Poland
22.34%
Team To Score First
Sweden
59.87%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
4.32%
▼
(-0.03)
Poland
35.81%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
66.68%
Equal 8
10.24%
Under 8
23.08%
Over 9
55.47%
Equal 9
11.21%
Under 9
33.32%
Over 10.5
44.22%
Under 10.5
55.78%
Sweden Goals
Over 1.5
51.87%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
48.13%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 2.5
26.97%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
73.03%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
11.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
88.35%
▼
(-0.03)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5
66.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
33.81%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
35.85%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
64.15%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
14.86%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 2.5
85.14%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 3.5
5.11%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
94.89%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Sweden
48.1%
Draw
22.74%
Poland
29.12%
Sweden
2-1
@
9.3%
1-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 48.1%
1-0 @ 7.43% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 11.28% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 48.1%
Draw
1-1
@
10%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.74%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.32% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 22.74%
Poland
1-2
@
7.02%
0-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 29.12%
0-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 29.12%