World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 31, 2026 7.45pm
Strawberry Arena

Sweden vs Poland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions

Poland

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Poland has a probability of 29.15% and a draw has a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Poland win is 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.01%).

Result

Sweden 48.04%
Draw 22.78% (+0.04)
Poland 29.15% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.67% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.62% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 17.38% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 62.26% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 37.71% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 39.71% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 60.29% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 24.67% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 75.33% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Sweden 40.26%
Draw 37.4%
Poland 22.34%

Team To Score First

Sweden 59.86% (-0.03)
No Goal 4.35% (+0.05)
Poland 35.79% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 66.68%
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 23.08%
Over 9 55.47%
Equal 9 11.21%
Under 9 33.32%
Over 10.5 44.22%
Under 10.5 55.78%

Sweden Goals

Over 1.5 51.78% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 48.22% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 26.89% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 73.11% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 11.62% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.38% (+0.02)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5 66.19% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 33.81% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 35.84% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 64.16% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 14.85% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 85.15% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 5.11% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.89% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Sweden 48.03%
Draw 22.79%
Poland 29.14%
Sweden
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 7.45% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.51% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.24% (-0.03)
Total : 48.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.01% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.35% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.38% (+0.02)
Total : 22.79%
Poland
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.54% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.85% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 4.73% (-0.04)
Total : 29.14%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jacek Goralski 38' yellowcard
  • Robert Lewandowski 49' goal
  • Jakub Moder 52' yellowcard
  • Piotr Zielinski 72' goal
  • Robert Lewandowski 77' yellowcard
  • Krystian Bielik 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Isak 81'
  • yellowcard Dejan Kulusevski 90'+2'
European Championship
Jun 23, 2021 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Aviva Stadium
  • Emil Forsberg 2' goal
  • Marcus Danielsson 10' yellowcard
  • Emil Forsberg 59' goal
  • Viktor Claesson 90'+4' goal
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 61'
  • yellowcard Grzegorz Krychowiak 74'
  • yellowcard Kamil Glik 83'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 84'