Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Poland has a probability of 29.15% and a draw has a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Poland win is 1-2 (7.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.01%).