Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 17, 2026 4.00pm
Stade Mohamed V

Egypt vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

Nigeria

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Loser Semi-final 1 win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Loser Semi-final 2 has a probability of 33.45% and a draw has a probability of 29.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Loser Semi-final 1 win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Loser Semi-final 2 win is 0-1 (12.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.45%).

Result

Egypt 36.7%
Draw 29.85%
Nigeria 33.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.35%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.16%
Under 1.5 37.84%
Over 2.5 35.2%
Under 2.5 64.8%
Over 3.5 16.2%
Under 3.5 83.75%
Over 4.5 7.49%
Under 4.5 92.51%

Egypt Goals

Over 1.5 28.93%
Under 1.5 71.07%
Over 2.5 9.47%
Under 2.5 90.53%
Over 3.5 2.45%
Under 3.5 97.55%

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 62.37%
Under 0.5 37.63%
Over 1.5 26.58%
Under 1.5 73.42%
Over 2.5 8.27%
Under 2.5 91.73%
Over 3.5 2.02%
Under 3.5 97.98%

Score analysis

Egypt 36.7%
Draw 29.85%
Nigeria 33.45%
Egypt
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-1 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 12.2%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 29.85%
Nigeria
0-1 @ 12.4%
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 6.36%
1-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 33.45%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Dec 16, 2025 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Mahmoud Saber 28' goal
  • Mostafa Mohamed 53' goal
  • yellowcard Chidozie Awaziem 8'
  • yellowcard Paul Onuachu 15'
  • goal Chidozie Awaziem 45'+3'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 11, 2022 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kelechi Iheanacho 30' goal
International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2019 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stephen Keshi Stadium (Asaba)
  • Paul Onuachu 1' goal
  • Leon Balogun 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tarek Hamed 32'
  • yellowcard Eldin 50'