Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for Ivory Coast had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Ivory Coast win was 0-1 (12.2%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.