Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 51.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.65% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Nigeria win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.