Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 46.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.05% and a win for Egypt had a probability of 26.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%) , while for a Egypt win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.