Africa Cup of Nations
Dec 30, 2025 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Dokou Dodo 20' yellowcard
  • Tosin Aiyegun 24' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 82' yellowcard
  • Steve Mounie 83' yellowcard
  • Abdoul Rachid Moumini 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lamine Camara 32'
  • goal Abdoulaye Seck 38'
  • goal Habib Diallo 62'
  • yellowcard Kalidou Koulibaly 66'
  • redcard Kalidou Koulibaly 71'
  • goal Cherif Ndiaye 90'+7'

Benin vs Senegal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 12.30pm
Benin 1 - 0 Botswana

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Senegal 1 - 1 Congo DR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.48% and a win for Benin had a probability of 19.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Benin win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Benin 19.01% (+0.98)
Draw 23.48% (+0.29)
Senegal 57.52% (-1.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.66% (+0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.02% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 50.98% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 27.15% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 72.85% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 12.75% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 87.25% (-0.13)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5 58.98% (+1.26)
Under 0.5 41.02% (-1.26)
Over 1.5 22.43% (+1.10)
Under 1.5 77.58% (-1.10)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 82.51% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 17.49% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 52.01% (-0.66)
Under 1.5 47.99% (+0.66)

Score analysis

Benin 19.01%
Draw 23.47%
Senegal 57.51%
Benin
1-0 @ 6.4% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 4.97% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 2.85% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 1.48% (+0.12)
3-2 @ 1.29% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 19.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.14% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 23.47%
Senegal
0-1 @ 12.51% (-0.26)
0-2 @ 10.9% (-0.37)
1-2 @ 9.72% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 6.34% (-0.30)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.76% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.52% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.06)
2-4 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 57.51%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
  • Sadio Mane 59' goal
  • Formose Mendy 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoul Rachid Moumini 58'
  • yellowcard Hassane Imourane 88'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 17, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de l'Amitie
  • Abdoul Rachid Moumini 78' goal
  • goal Abdoulaye Seck 43'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 4, 2022 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sadio Mane 12' goal
  • Sadio Mane 22' goal
  • Sadio Mane 60' goal
  • yellowcard Melvyn Doremus 6'
  • redcard Sessi D'Almeida 51'
  • goal Junior Olaitan 88'
Africa Cup of Nations
Jul 10, 2019 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT 30 June Stadium, Cairo
  • Idrissa Gueye 69' goal
  • Sadio Mane 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cebio Soukou 44'
  • redcard Olivier Verdon 83'
  • yellowcard Steve Mounie 93'

Build-up

Feature