Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 44.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Jordan had a probability of 27.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%) , while for a Jordan win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.