International Friendlies
May 26, 2026 7.30pm
The Valley

Nigeria vs Zimbabwe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 6.30pm
Jordan 2 - 2 Nigeria

Zimbabwe

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 5.00pm
Zimbabwe 0 - 0 Zambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nigeria win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw has a probability of 26.55% and a win for Zimbabwe has a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.63%) , while for a Zimbabwe win it is 0-1 (7.9%).

Result

Nigeria 55.95% (-0.15)
Draw 26.55%
Zimbabwe 17.5% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.45% (+0.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.59% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 36.41% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 36.8% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 63.2% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 17.5% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 82.5% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 9.33% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.67% (-0.02)

Nigeria Goals

Over 1.5 43.07% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 56.93% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.37% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.63% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.25% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.75% (+0.02)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5 46.74% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 53.26% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 14.43% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 85.57% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 3.2% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 96.8% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.57% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.43% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Nigeria 55.95%
Draw 26.55%
Zimbabwe 17.5%
Nigeria
1-0 @ 16.94% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 12.44% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.56% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.08% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.23% (-0.02)
Total : 55.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 11.57% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 2.99% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 26.55%
Zimbabwe
0-1 @ 7.9% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.03% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.73% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.55% (+0.03)
Total : 17.5%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 25, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
  • Victor Osimhen 74' goal
  • yellowcard Washington Arubi 70'
  • yellowcard Marshall Munetsi 73'
  • goal Tawanda Chirewa 90'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 19, 2023 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Huye
  • Walter Musona 26' goal
  • Prince Dube 46' yellowcard
  • Marvelous Nakamba 56' yellowcard
  • Prince Dube 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calvin Bassey 45'
  • goal Kelechi Iheanacho 67'
  • yellowcard Jamilu Collins 87'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 90'
International Friendlies
Jun 8, 2019 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Oghenekaro Etebo 73' yellowcard
African Nations Championship
Feb 1, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Cape Town Stadium, Cape Town
  • Masimba Mambare 16' redcard
  • Simba Sithole 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aliyu Ibrahim 7'
  • goal Christian Obiozor 85'
  • yellowcard Christian Obiozor 86'