Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Botswana win was 1-0 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.