World Cup Gameweek 2
Mexico
Jun 19, 2026 2.00am
Guadalajara Stadium
South Korea

Mexico vs South Korea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 11, 2026 8.00pm
Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa

South Korea

All competitions
World Cup
Last game
Jun 12, 2026 3.00am
South Korea 2 - 1 Czech Republic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for South Korea has a probability of 35.33% and a draw has a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest South Korea win is 0-1 (9.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.63%).

Result

Mexico 38.6% ▼ (-1.33)
Draw 26.07% ▼ (-0.63)
South Korea 35.33% ▲ (+1.94)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.93% ▲ (+0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.16% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 1.5 27.84% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 46.86% ▼ (-0.89)
Under 2.5 53.14% ▲ (+0.89)
Over 3.5 24.86% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 75.14% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 13.58% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.42% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Mexico 29.94% ▲ (+0.95)
Draw 45.34% ▲ (+0.59)
South Korea 24.73% ▼ (-1.51)

Team To Score First

Mexico 52.33% ▼ (-1.90)
No Goal 7.77% ▼ (-0.19)
South Korea 39.9% ▲ (+2.08)

Corners

Over 8 37.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 11.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 50.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 9 27.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 9 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 62.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 19.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 80.06% ▼ (-0.01)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 36.05% ▼ (-1.43)
Under 1.5 63.95% ▲ (+1.43)
Over 2.5 13.86% ▼ (-1.17)
Under 2.5 86.14% ▲ (+1.16)
Over 3.5 4.52% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 95.48% ▲ (+0.30)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5 67.63% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 0.5 32.37% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 1.5 33.35% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 1.5 66.65% ▼ (-0.77)
Over 2.5 12.89% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 2.5 87.11% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 4.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 3.5 95.87% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Mexico 38.61%
Draw 26.07%
South Korea 35.32%
Mexico
1-0 @ 10.35% ▼ (-0.18)
2-1 @ 8.48% ▼ (-0.39)
2-0 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.52)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 38.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.7% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 26.07%
South Korea
0-1 @ 9.72% ▲ (+0.65)
1-2 @ 7.89% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.51)
1-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.21)
0-3 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 4.01% ▲ (+0.28)
Total : 35.32%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Mexico
Sep 10, 2025 2.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
South Korea
International Friendlies
Mexico
Nov 14, 2020 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT
South Korea
  • Luis Rodriguez 65' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 67' goal
  • Carlos Uriel 69' goal
  • Carlos Salcedo 70' goal
  • goal Hwang Ui-jo 20'
  • yellowcard Ju-Yong Lee 26'
  • yellowcard Jung Woo-young 73'
  • goal Kwon Kyung-won 87'
World Cup Gameweek 2
South Korea
Jun 23, 2018 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Rostov Arena
Mexico
  • Heung-min Son 90'+3' goal
  • goal Carlos Vela 26'
  • goal Javier Hernandez 66'

Form Data

Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa
Mexico 5 - 1 Serbia
Mexico 1 - 0 Australia
Mexico 2 - 0 Ghana
Mexico 1 - 1 Belgium
Mexico 0 - 0 Portugal
South Korea 2 - 1 Czech Republic
South Korea 1 - 0 El Salvador
South Korea 5 - 0 Trin. & Tob.
Austria 1 - 0 South Korea
South Korea 0 - 4 Ivory Coast
South Korea 1 - 0 Ghana

Build-up

Predicted Lineups