World Cup
Gameweek
3
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-
Mateo Chávez
55'
-
Julián Quiñones
61'
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Edson Álvarez
64'
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Álvaro Fidalgo
90'+4'
Czech Republic vs Mexico - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
Feature
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Czech Republic had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Czech Republic win was 1-0 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result
Czech Republic
31.42%
▲
(+0.43)
Draw
26.26%
▼
(-0.04)
Mexico
42.32%
▼
(-0.33)
Both Teams to Score:
49.65%
▼
(-1.46)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.09%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
27.91%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
46.64%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
53.36%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
25.39%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 3.5
74.61%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 4.5
13.88%
▲
(+0.56)
Under 4.5
86.12%
▼
(-0.55)
First Half Winner
Czech Republic
27.05%
▲
(+27.05)
Draw
47.94%
▲
(+47.94)
Mexico
25.01%
▲
(+25.01)
Team To Score First
Czech Republic
47.97%
▲
(+47.97)
No Goal
8%
▲
(+8.00)
Mexico
44.03%
▲
(+44.03)
Corners
Over 8
47.46%
▲
(+47.46)
Equal 8
11.35%
▲
(+11.35)
Under 8
41.19%
▲
(+41.19)
Over 9
36.77%
▲
(+36.78)
Equal 9
10.7%
▲
(+10.70)
Under 9
52.54%
▲
(+52.54)
Over 10.5
27.45%
▲
(+27.45)
Under 10.5
72.55%
▲
(+72.55)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 1.5
30.22%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
69.78%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 2.5
10.78%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
89.22%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
3.22%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 3.5
96.78%
▼
(-0.24)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
72.18%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 0.5
27.82%
▲
(+0.79)
Over 1.5
39.22%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
60.78%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 2.5
16.7%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 2.5
83.3%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 3.5
5.73%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 3.5
94.27%
▼
(-0.41)
Score analysis
Czech Republic
31.44%
Draw
26.26%
Mexico
42.31%
Czech Republic
1-0
@
9.26%
▲
(+0.27)
2-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 31.44%
2-1 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 5.45% ▲ (+0.26)
3-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 31.44%
Draw
1-1
@
12.52%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 26.26%
0-0 @ 8% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.31)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 26.26%
Mexico
0-1
@
10.66%
▼
(-0.33)
1-2 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 42.31%
1-2 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.21)
1-3 @ 4.06%
0-3 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.36)
Total : 42.31%
Head to Head
International Friendlies
Form Data
Build-up
How to watch
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Head to head
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F06%2Fdavid-jurasek-playing-for-czech-republic-in-march-2026-ctk-photo-6a390cbd1449b907893736.jpg)