World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Mar 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Nagyerdei Stadion

Israel
2 - 1
Estonia

Hein (23' og.), Dasa (75')
Shlomo (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Paskotsi (10')
Peetson (36'), Soomets (40'), Anier (90')
Soomets (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Israel and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-0 Belgium
Sunday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	6	13
2	Italy	6	5	13
3	Belgium	6	-3	4
4	Israel	6	-8	4

Estonia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 1-0 Estonia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden	0	0	0
2	Estonia	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 60.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Estonia
60.4% ( 1.36)	23.27% ( -0.19)	16.33% ( -1.17)

Both teams to score 44.45% (

-1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.98% (

-1.01)

54.01% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

-0.85)

75.45% (

0.85)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44% (

0.12)

17.56% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.89% (

0.21)

48.1% (

-0.21)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.91% (

-2.09)

46.08% (

2.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.21% (

-1.67)

81.78% (

1.66)

Score Analysis

Israel 60.39%

Estonia 16.33%

Draw 23.26%

Israel	Draw	Estonia
1-0 @ 14.07% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.38% Total : 60.39%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.26%	0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.37% Total : 16.33%