/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fisrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffralog.png)
-
Omri Gandelman
24'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
7'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
18'
-
Christopher Nkunku
28'
-
Matteo Guendouzi
87'
-
Bradley Barcola
89'
Israel vs France - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Feduardo-camavinga_3.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F25%2Fdidier-deschamps_3.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fantoine-griezmann.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 56.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Israel had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Israel win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result
Israel
19.98%
▼
(-0.08)
Draw
23.11%
▲
(+0.12)
France
56.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
51.36%
▼
(-0.50)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.81%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 2.5
48.19%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 3.5
29.66%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 3.5
70.35%
▲
(+0.55)
Over 4.5
14.43%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 4.5
85.57%
▲
(+0.39)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5
61.67%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 0.5
38.34%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 1.5
24.91%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
75.09%
▲
(+0.42)
France Goals
Over 0.5
83.29%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
16.71%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
53.4%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
46.6%
▲
(+0.41)
Score analysis
Israel
19.99%
Draw
23.1%
France
56.91%
Israel
1-0
@
6.14%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.99%
2-1 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 19.99%
Draw
1-1
@
10.98%
▲
(+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.1%
0-0 @ 6.4% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.1%
France
0-1
@
11.46%
▲
(+0.21)
0-2 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 56.91%
0-2 @ 10.25% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 56.91%