UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Bozsik Stadion

Israel
1 - 2
Italy

Abu Fani (90')
Ben Shimon (88'), Jaber (90+4'), Yehezkel (90+2'), Revivo (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Frattesi (38'), Kean (62')
Gatti (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Israel and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with Israel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Belgium 3-1 Israel
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	10	11	22
2	Switzerland	10	11	17
3	Israel	10	0	15
4	Belarus	10	-5	12
5	Kosovo	10	0	11
6	Andorra	10	-17	2

Italy

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: France 1-3 Italy
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	3	5	9
2	Italy	3	0	4
3	Croatia	3	-3	2
4	Albania	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Israel had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Israel win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Israel	Draw	Italy
34.59% ( 0.05)	26.42% ( 0.22)	38.99% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.89% (

-0.91)

52.1% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.17% (

-0.79)

73.82% (

0.78)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.41)

28.71% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.46% (

-0.51)

64.53% (

0.51)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

-0.57)

26.14% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

-0.76)

61.21% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Israel 34.59%

Italy 38.98%

Draw 26.41%

Israel	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.59%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.98%