Nations League
France
Sep 6, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
Italy
  • Bradley Barcola 1' goal
  • Kouadio Kone 60' yellowcard
  • goal Federico Dimarco 30'
  • yellowcard Mateo Retegui 49'
  • goal Davide Frattesi 51'
  • goal Giacomo Raspadori 74'

France vs Italy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Italy

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Italy had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Italy win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result

France 56.96% ▼ (-0.41)
Draw 25.12% ▲ (+0.20)
Italy 17.92% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.43% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.65% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 58.34% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 21.04% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 78.96% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 4.5 8.94% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 4.5 91.06% ▲ (+0.19)

France Goals

Over 0.5 79.49% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 20.5% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 1.5 47.01% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 1.5 52.99% ▲ (+0.51)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 53.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 46.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 17.8% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 82.2% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

France 56.95%
Draw 25.11%
Italy 17.92%
France
1-0 @ 15.14% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 56.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 25.11%
Italy
0-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.92%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
France
Jun 1, 2018 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
Italy
  • Samuel Umtiti 8' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 29' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 63' goal
  • goal Leonardo Bonucci 36'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 42'
International Friendlies
Italy
Sep 1, 2016 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
France
  • Graziano Pelle 21' goal
  • goal Anthony Martial 17'
  • goal Olivier Giroud 28'
  • goal Layvin Kurzawa 81'
International Friendlies
Italy
Nov 14, 2012 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
France
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 0' goal
  • goal Mathieu Valbuena 0'
  • goal Bafetimbi Gomis 0'
World Cup
Italy
Jul 9, 2006 7.00pm
1
1
ET Olympiastadion
France
  • Gianluca Zambrotta 5' yellowcard
  • Marco Materazzi 19' goal
  • goal Zinedine Zidane 7'
  • yellowcard Willy Sagnol 12'
  • yellowcard Claude Makelele 76'
  • redcard Zinedine Zidane 110'
  • yellowcard Florent Malouda 111'
European Championship
France
Jul 2, 2000 7.00pm
2
1
ET De Kuip
Italy
  • Lilian Thuram 58' yellowcard
  • Sylvain Wiltord 90' goal
  • Trezeguet 103' goal
  • yellowcard Luigi Di Biagio 31'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cannavaro 42'
  • goal Marco Delvecchio 55'
  • yellowcard Francesco Totti 90'
World Cup
Italy
Jun 12, 1938 4.00pm
Stade Olympique de Colombes
France

Form Data

Spain 2 - 1 France
Portugal 0 - 0 France
France 1 - 0 Belgium
France 1 - 1 Poland
Netherlands 0 - 0 France
Austria 0 - 1 France
Switzerland 2 - 0 Italy
Croatia 1 - 1 Italy
Spain 1 - 0 Italy
Italy 2 - 1 Albania
Italy 1 - 0 Bosnia H'vina
Italy 0 - 0 Turkey

Build-up

Predicted Lineups