UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

France national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Gerard Houllier
Belgium national football team

France
2 - 0
Belgium

Kolo (29'), Dembele (57')
Kone (4'), Digne (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Openda (8'), Tielemans (38')

The Match

Match Report

France bounce back from a 3-1 defeat against Italy to get their UEFA Nations League campaign up and running with a 2-0 home win over Belgium.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between France and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Monday's UEFA Nations League clash with neighbours France.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: France 1-3 Italy
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Belgium

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 3-1 Israel
Friday, September 6 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Belgium had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Belgium win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
FranceDrawBelgium
51.58% (-0.497 -0.5)25.55% (0.303 0.3)22.88% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 48% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (-0.958 -0.96)54.63% (0.959 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.03% (-0.802 -0.8)75.97% (0.803 0.8)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)21.21% (0.595 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9% (-0.929 -0.93)54.1% (0.93 0.93)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.92% (-0.35 -0.35)39.08% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.2% (-0.331 -0.33)75.79% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    France 51.57%
    Belgium 22.88%
    Draw 25.54%
FranceDrawBelgium
1-0 @ 12.85% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 9.97% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.305 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.79% (0.214 0.21)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: France vs Belgium

France
70.7%
Draw
17.6%
Belgium
11.7%
307
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2024 5pm
Round of 16
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1-0
Belgium
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Tchouameni (14'), Griezmann (23'), Rabiot (24')

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> Match Report
Oct 7, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
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Vertonghen (67')
Benzema (62'), Mbappe (69' pen.), Hernandez (90')
> Preview
Jul 10, 2018 7pm
Semi-Finals
France
1-0
Belgium
Umtiti (51')
> Match Report
Jun 7, 2015 8pm
International Friendlies
France
3-4
Belgium
> Match Report
Aug 14, 2013 8pm
International Friendlies
Belgium
0-0
France
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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