/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ffralog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog.png)
-
Kouadio Kone
4'
-
Lucas Digne
8'
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Randal Kolo
29'
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Ousmane Dembele
57'
-
Lois Openda
8'
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Youri Tielemans
38'
France vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Fkevin-de-bruyne.jpg)
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F27%2Fdidier-deschamps.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fbradley-barcola.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fdomenico-tedesco.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Belgium had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Belgium win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
Result
France
51.58%
▼
(-0.50)
Draw
25.55%
▲
(+0.31)
Belgium
22.88%
▲
(+0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
48%
▼
(-0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.37%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 2.5
54.63%
▲
(+0.96)
Over 3.5
24.03%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 3.5
75.97%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 4.5
10.75%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 4.5
89.25%
▲
(+0.51)
France Goals
Over 0.5
78.79%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 0.5
21.21%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 1.5
45.9%
▼
(-0.93)
Under 1.5
54.1%
▲
(+0.93)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5
60.92%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
39.08%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
24.2%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
75.79%
▲
(+0.34)
Score analysis
France
51.57%
Draw
25.54%
Belgium
22.88%
France
1-0
@
12.85%
▲
(+0.25)
2-0 @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.57%
2-0 @ 9.97% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.36% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.15% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.13)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.57%
Draw
1-1
@
12.07%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.54%
0-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.54%
Belgium
0-1
@
7.79%
▲
(+0.22)
1-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.15% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 22.88%
Head to Head
Build-up
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fdidier-deschamps.jpg)