Israel national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Bozsik Stadion
Belgium national football team

Israel
1 - 0
Belgium

Shua (86')
Ben Shimon (32'), Shlomo (76'), Jaber (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castagne (31'), Openda (73'), Bakayoko (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Israel and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: France 0-0 Israel
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Italy
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Israel had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Israel win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
IsraelDrawBelgium
16.38% (0.489 0.49)20.1% (0.103 0.1)63.52% (-0.594 -0.59)
Both teams to score 54.43% (0.781 0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (0.477 0.48)40.72% (-0.478 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89% (0.487 0.49)63.11% (-0.487 -0.49)
Israel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.98% (0.904 0.9)38.02% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.21% (0.862 0.86)74.78% (-0.86399999999999 -0.86)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.81% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)12.18% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.16% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)37.83% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Israel 16.38%
    Belgium 63.51%
    Draw 20.1%
IsraelDrawBelgium
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 4.48% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.17% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.55% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.47% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 16.38%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.8% (0.122 0.12)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.1%
0-2 @ 10.26% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.75% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-3 @ 7.2% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 6.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 3.79% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.042 0.04)
0-5 @ 1.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 63.51%

How you voted: Israel vs Belgium

Israel
17.0%
Draw
11.9%
Belgium
71.1%
159
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Belgium
3-1
Israel
De Bruyne (21', 52' pen.), Tielemans (48')
De Bruyne (77')
Castagne (36' og.)
Abu Fani (33')
Oct 13, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Belgium
3-1
Israel
Mertens (64'), De Bruyne (78'), Hazard (84')
De Bruyne (32'), Vertonghen (45')
Hemed (88')
Rikan (76')
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Israel
0-1
Belgium

Dgani (17'), Yeini (54'), Rafaelov (88')
Felliani (9')
Kompany (11'), Alderweireld (18'), Lombaerts (75')
Kompany (64')