The Match
Match Report
Belgium fight back from 2-0 down to record a potentially vital 2-2 draw against 10-man Italy in League A Group 2 of the UEFA Nations League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Italy and Belgium, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Belgium could line up for Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Israel 1-2 Italy
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Belgium | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Israel | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Belgium had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Belgium win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Belgium |
62.81% ( 2.71) | 21.65% ( -0.85) | 15.54% ( -1.86) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
