Nations League
Italy
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
Belgium
  • Andrea Cambiaso 1' goal
  • Mateo Retegui 24' goal
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 40' redcard
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma 90' yellowcard
  • Niccolo Pisilli 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Maxim De Cuyper 42'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 61'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 65'

Italy vs Belgium - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
Israel 1 - 2 Italy

Belgium

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 9, 2024 7.45pm
France 2 - 0 Belgium

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Belgium had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Belgium win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result

Italy 62.81% ▲ (+2.71)
Draw 21.65% ▼ (-0.85)
Belgium 15.54% ▼ (-1.86)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.46% ▼ (-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.97% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 49.03% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 28.89% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 71.11% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 4.5 13.91% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 4.5 86.09% ▼ (-0.21)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5 84.98% ▲ (+1.01)
Under 0.5 15.02% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 1.5 56.51% ▲ (+1.88)
Under 1.5 43.49% ▼ (-1.87)

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5 55.85% ▼ (-2.19)
Under 0.5 44.15% ▲ (+2.19)
Over 1.5 19.75% ▼ (-1.85)
Under 1.5 80.24% ▲ (+1.85)

Score analysis

Italy 62.8%
Draw 21.64%
Belgium 15.54%
Italy
1-0 @ 12.56% ▲ (+0.25)
2-0 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.65)
2-1 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 7.53% ▲ (+0.65)
3-1 @ 6.16% ▲ (+0.19)
4-0 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.42)
4-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.21)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 62.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.42)
0-0 @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.64%
Belgium
0-1 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.42)
1-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.45)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.20)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 15.54%

Head to Head

Nations League
Italy
Oct 10, 2021 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Stadium
Belgium
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo 30' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 46' goal
  • Domenico Berardi 65' goal
  • Emerson Palmieri 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 14'
  • yellowcard Axel Witsel 56'
  • yellowcard Toby Alderweireld 63'
  • goal Charles De Ketelaere 86'
European Championship
Belgium
Jul 2, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Allianz Arena
Italy
  • Youri Tielemans 21' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 45'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Marco Verratti 20'
  • goal Nicolo Barella 31'
  • goal Lorenzo Insigne 44'
  • yellowcard Domenico Berardi 90'
European Championship
Belgium
Jun 13, 2016 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade de Lyon
Italy
  • Jan Vertonghen 91' yellowcard
  • goal Emanuele Giaccherini 32'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Chiellini 66'
  • yellowcard Eder 75'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Bonucci 78'
  • yellowcard Thiago Motta 84'
  • goal Graziano Pelle 93'
International Friendlies
Belgium
Nov 13, 2015 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Italy
  • Jan Vertonghen 13' goal
  • Jan Vertonghen 25' yellowcard
  • Axel Witsel 33' yellowcard
  • Kevin De Bruyne 74' goal
  • Michy Batshuayi 82' goal
  • goal Antonio Candreva 3'
  • yellowcard Eder 27'
  • yellowcard Giorgio Chiellini 34'
  • yellowcard Luca Antonelli 90'

Form Data

Israel 1 - 2 Italy
France 1 - 3 Italy
Switzerland 2 - 0 Italy
Croatia 1 - 1 Italy
Spain 1 - 0 Italy
Italy 2 - 1 Albania
France 2 - 0 Belgium
Belgium 3 - 1 Israel
France 1 - 0 Belgium
Ukraine 0 - 0 Belgium
Belgium 2 - 0 Romania
Belgium 0 - 1 Slovakia

Build-up

Predicted Lineups