Scottish Championship | Gameweek 36

May 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Excelsior Stadium

Airdrieonians
0 - 1
Ayr

McStravick (45+1'), Armstrong (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dempsey (45')
McMann (74'), Main (86')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Airdrieonians

All competitions

Last Game: Dunfermline 0-0 Airdrieonians
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 2-2 Queen's Park
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Airdrieonians	Draw	Ayr United
28.85% ( -0.01)	25% ( -0.02)	46.15% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.98% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.95% (

0.07)

48.05% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.78% (

0.06)

70.21% (

-0.07)

Airdrieonians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

0.02)

30.53% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

0.03)

66.75% (

-0.03)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

0.04)

20.86% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

0.07)

53.55% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Airdrieonians 28.85%

Ayr United 46.15%

Draw 24.99%

Airdrieonians	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.85%	1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.15%