Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 21, 2026 8.00pm
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Burnley 0 - 2 Brighton
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Danny Welbeck

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 4.30pm
Chelsea 0 - 3 Man City
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 36.23% and a draw has a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win is 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.15%).

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 36.23% (-1.60)
Draw 24.58% (+0.03)
Chelsea 39.19% (+1.56)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.06% (+1.84)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.47% (+0.41)
Under 1.5 20.53% (-0.42)
Over 2.5 57.29% (+0.45)
Under 2.5 42.71% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 34.65% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 65.35% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 20.66% (+0.36)
Under 4.5 79.34% (-0.36)

First Half Winner

Brighton & Hove Albion 28.88% (-0.34)
Draw 38.35% (-1.13)
Chelsea 32.78% (+1.48)

Team To Score First

Brighton & Hove Albion 43.59% (-0.12)
No Goal 5.63% (+0.04)
Chelsea 50.78% (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 56.27% (+1.06)
Equal 8 11.87% (+0.45)
Under 8 31.86% (-1.50)
Over 9 44.32% (+0.51)
Equal 9 11.95% (+0.54)
Under 9 43.73% (-1.06)
Over 10.5 33.31% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 66.69% (+0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 1.5 39.69% (-1.17)
Under 1.5 60.31% (+1.17)
Over 2.5 16.67% (-0.81)
Under 2.5 83.33% (+0.82)
Over 3.5 5.87% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 94.13% (+0.26)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 72.81% (+0.90)
Under 0.5 27.19% (-0.89)
Over 1.5 42.35% (+1.40)
Under 1.5 57.65% (-1.40)
Over 2.5 19.67% (+1.36)
Under 2.5 80.33% (-1.36)
Over 3.5 7.59% (+0.63)
Under 3.5 92.41% (-0.64)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 36.24%
Draw 24.58%
Chelsea 39.2%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.27% (-0.15)
1-0 @ 7.62% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.27)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.31)
3-0 @ 2.84% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.23)
Other @ 5.58% (-0.29)
Total : 36.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.63% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.02)
Total : 24.58%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 8.62% (+0.27)
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 5.47% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.32% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 3.27% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 2.92% (+0.25)
Other @ 7.3% (+0.61)
Total : 39.2%

Head to Head

Premier League
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 25
Feb 14, 2025 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Kaoru Mitoma 27' goal
  • Yankuba Minteh 38' goal
  • Yankuba Minteh 63' goal
  • Yankuba Minteh 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 42'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 64'
FA Cup
Feb 8, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
  • Georginio Rutter 12' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 20' yellowcard
  • Joel Veltman 27' yellowcard
  • Kaoru Mitoma 57' goal
  • goal Bart Verbruggen 5' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 14'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 68'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 4 2
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Cole Palmer 21' goal
  • Cole Palmer 28' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 29' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 31' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 33' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 41' goal
  • Wesley Fofana 78' yellowcard
  • goal Georginio Rutter 7'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 27'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupinan 29'
  • goal Carlos Balepa 34'
Premier League Gameweek 34
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Lewis Dunk 29' yellowcard
  • Bart Verbruggen 81' yellowcard
  • Danny Welbeck 90'+7' goal
  • goal Cole Palmer 34'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 64'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 77'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 79'
  • redcard Reece James 88'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Enzo Fernandez 17' goal
  • Levi Colwill 21' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 31' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 45' redcard
  • Benoit Badiashile 52' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 59' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 65' goal
  • Robert Sanchez 88' yellowcard
  • goal Facundo Buonanotte 43'
  • yellowcard Jack Hinshelwood 45'+6'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 58'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 64'
  • yellowcard James Milner 64'
  • goal Joao Pedro 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 90'+14'