Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (8.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.