Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 6, 2026 4.30pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Aug 31, 2026 8.00pm
Aston Villa 0 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Bukayo Saka

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 2.00pm
Chelsea 4 - 3 Brighton
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
João Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.77%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 23.63% and a draw has a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (5.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.49%).

Result

Arsenal 54.77% (+0.47)
Draw 21.6% (+0.04)
Chelsea 23.63% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.54% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.01% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 16.99% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 62.95% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 37.05% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 40.22% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 59.78% (+0.26)
Over 4.5 25.61% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 74.39% (+0.21)

First Half Winner

Arsenal 44.39% (-0.08)
Draw 37.29% (+0.05)
Chelsea 18.33% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Arsenal 66.39% (+0.11)
No Goal 4.3% (+0.05)
Chelsea 29.31% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 48.25% (+0.19)
Equal 8 11.97% (+0.01)
Under 8 39.78% (-0.20)
Over 9 36.93% (+0.16)
Equal 9 11.32% (+0.04)
Under 9 51.75% (-0.19)
Over 10.5 27.09% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 72.91% (-0.14)

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 56.95% (+0.28)
Under 1.5 43.05% (-0.28)
Over 2.5 30.55% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 69.45% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 13.45% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 86.55% (-0.19)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 61.45% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 38.55% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 30.9% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 69.1% (+0.56)
Over 2.5 12.04% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 87.96% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 4.13% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 95.87% (+0.25)

Score analysis

Arsenal 54.77%
Draw 21.6%
Chelsea 23.64%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 10.34% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.13% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 7.62% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 6.15% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.24% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.05)
Other @ 13.27% (+0.18)
Total : 54.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.49% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.3% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.6%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 5.95% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.57% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.95% (-0.25)
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 28
Mar 1, 2026 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • William Saliba 21' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 56' yellowcard
  • Jurriën Timber 66' goal
  • Christian Nørgaard 76' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 76' yellowcard
  • goal Piero Hincapié 45'+2' (OG)
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 75'
  • yellowcard Roméo Lavia 75'
  • yellowcard 76'
  • yellowcard Liam Delap 86'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 86'
  • yellowcard Tosin Adarabioyo 90'
EFL Cup
Feb 3, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Kai Havertz 69' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 69' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Estevao Willian 60'
  • yellowcard Cole Palmer 60'
  • yellowcard Estêvão 60'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Garnacho 75'
  • yellowcard Josh Acheampong 87'
EFL Cup
Jan 14, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Benoit Badiashile 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 53' yellowcard
  • Benoît Badiashile 53' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 57' goal
  • Jorrel Hato 75' yellowcard
  • Tosin Adarabioyo 81' yellowcard
  • Marc Cucurella 81' yellowcard
  • Shumaira Mheuka 81' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Garnacho 83' goal
  • goal Ben White 7'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 49'
  • goal Viktor Gyökeres 49'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 67'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 68'
  • goal Martin Zubimendi 71'
  • goal Martín Zubimendi 71'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 82'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 82'
Premier League
Nov 30, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marc Cucurella 11' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 38' redcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 48' goal
  • yellowcard Martin Zubimendi 5'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Mosquera 13'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 27'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 41'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 54'
  • goal Mikel Merino 59'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 88'
Premier League Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 1.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Mikel Merino 20' goal
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 54' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 58' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 30'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 52'
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 59'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Levi Colwill 21' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 33' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Pedro Neto 70' goal
  • Marc Cucurella 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben White 39'
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 56'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 60'

Build-up

Injuries & Suspensions