EFL Cup
Aug 27, 2026 7.30pm
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Luton Town

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 49%. A win for Luton Town has a probability of 28.7% and a draw has a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Luton Town win is 1-2 (6.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.23%).

Result

Chelsea 49% (-0.11)
Draw 22.29% (+0.01)
Luton Town 28.7% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.42% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.46% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 18.54% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 60.42% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 39.53% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 37.89% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 62.11% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 23.51% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.49% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Chelsea 35.32% (+0.04)
Draw 39.55% (-0.06)
Luton Town 25.13% (+0.03)

Team To Score First

Chelsea 59.11% (-0.11)
No Goal 4.78%
Luton Town 36.11% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 62.15% (-0.46)
Equal 8 10.59% (+0.03)
Under 8 27.26% (+0.43)
Over 9 51% (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.15% (-0.02)
Under 9 37.85% (+0.46)
Over 10.5 40.18% (-0.39)
Under 10.5 59.82% (+0.39)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 50.41% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 49.59% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 26.2% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 73.8% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.04%
Under 3.5 89.96%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 64.83% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.17% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.4% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.6% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.58% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 85.42% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.75% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.25% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Chelsea 49%
Draw 22.29%
Luton Town 28.69%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.61% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.07% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.04)
Other @ 9.9% (-0.02)
Total : 49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58%
0-0 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.03)
Total : 22.29%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.49%
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.18% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.61% (+0.04)
Total : 28.69%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 20
Dec 30, 2023 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Jacob Brown 27' yellowcard
  • Teden Mengi 77' yellowcard
  • Ross Barkley 80' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 87' goal
  • goal Cole Palmer 12'
  • goal Noni Madueke 37'
  • goal Cole Palmer 70'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 87'
  • yellowcard Malo Gusto 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Raheem Sterling 17' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 68' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 73' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Jackson 75' goal
  • Ian Maatsen 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Lockyer 27'
  • yellowcard Marvelous Nakamba 30'
  • yellowcard Jacob Brown 78'
FA Cup
Mar 2, 2022 7.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Reece Burke 2' goal
  • Harry Cornick 40' goal
  • Admiral Muskwe 67' yellowcard
  • goal Saul Niguez 27'
  • goal Timo Werner 68'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 78'
FA Cup
Jan 24, 2021 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Tammy Abraham 11' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 17' goal
  • Tammy Abraham 74' goal
  • goal Jordan Clark 30'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 85'