Club Friendlies 1
Aug 8, 2026 1.00pm
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno

Chelsea vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

AC Milan

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 3.00pm
Celtic 2 - 2 AC Milan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 32.8% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win is 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 2-1 (7.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.38%).

Result

Chelsea 32.8%
Draw 24.4%
AC Milan 42.8%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.9%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 20.92% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%
Over 3.5 33.8%
Under 3.5 66.2%
Over 4.5 19.49% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.51% (+0.03)

Chelsea Goals

Over 1.5 36.51% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 63.49% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 14.64%
Under 2.5 85.36%
Over 3.5 4.77%
Under 3.5 95.23%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 75.83% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 24.17% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 44.86% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.14% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 20.41% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.59% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.52% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.48% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Chelsea 32.8%
Draw 24.39%
AC Milan 42.8%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 7.71%
1-0 @ 7.21% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.88%
3-1 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 32.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.39%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 9% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 6.63%
1-3 @ 4.74%
0-3 @ 3.5% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.32% (-0.01)
Total : 42.8%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 10, 2025 3.00pm
Champions League
Oct 11, 2022 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Jorginho 21'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 34'
Champions League
Oct 5, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Wesley Fofana 24' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 56' goal
  • Reece James 61' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 4, 2016 2.00am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT US Bank Stadium
  • Alessio Romagnoli 6' yellowcard
  • Giacomo Bonaventura 38' goal
  • goal Bertrand Traore 25'
  • goal Oscar 70'
  • goal Oscar 87'