Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.5%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 1-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.