Premier League
May 9, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Anfield
  • Ryan Gravenberch 6' goal
  • Alexander Isak 67' yellowcard
  • Joe Gomez 77' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 77' yellowcard
  • goal Enzo Fernández 35'
  • yellowcard Reece James  63'

Liverpool vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 3.30pm
Man Utd 3 - 2 Liverpool
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Hugo Ekitike

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2026 3.00pm
Chelsea 1 - 3 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.5%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.82%) and 1-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Liverpool 55.5% (-0.01)
Draw 20.5% (-0.02)
Chelsea 24% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.24% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 86.18% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 13.82% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 67.98% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 32.02% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 45.84% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 54.16% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 30.44% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 69.56% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 46.71% (+0.15)
Draw 34.08% (-0.14)
Chelsea 19.21% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Liverpool 61.68% (+0.01)
No Goal 3.13% (-0.02)
Chelsea 35.19%

Corners

Over 8 67.5% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.36% (+0.02)
Under 8 22.14% (-0.04)
Over 9 56.06%
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.03)
Under 9 32.5% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 44.54% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 55.46% (+0.03)

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 60.46% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 39.54% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 34.9% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 65.1% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 16.48%
Under 3.5 83.52%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 62.05% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 37.95% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.28% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.72% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.89% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.11% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.62% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.38% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Liverpool 55.51%
Draw 20.5%
Chelsea 24%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 9.66%
2-0 @ 6.82%
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.49% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 16.09%
Total : 55.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 3.13% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 20.5%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-1 @ 3.96% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-3 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 4.23% (+0.02)
Total : 24%

Head to Head

Premier League
Oct 4, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 35
May 4, 2025 4.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Enzo Fernandez 3' goal
  • Trevoh Chalobah 54' yellowcard
  • Jarell Quansah 56' goal
  • Jadon Sancho 84' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 51'
  • yellowcard Jarell Quansah 58'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 85'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2024 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Arne Slot 26' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Salah 29' goal
  • Curtis Jones 51' goal
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 45'+8' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 69' yellowcard
  • Ibrahima Konate 80' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tosin Adarabioyo 6'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 28'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 48'
  • yellowcard Renato Veiga 78'
EFL Cup
Feb 25, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET Stamford Bridge
  • Ben Chilwell 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 120'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 45'+3'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 60'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 81'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Konate 82'
  • yellowcard James McConnell 107'
  • goal Virgil van Dijk 118'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 120'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2024 8.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Anfield
  • Diogo Jota 23' goal
  • Conor Bradley 39' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 47' yellowcard
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 65' goal
  • Ibrahima Konate 76' yellowcard
  • Luis Diaz 79' goal
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 11'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 33'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 35'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 41'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 71'
Premier League Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 4' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 32' yellowcard
  • Axel Disasi 37' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 85' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Diaz 18'
  • yellowcard Diogo Jota 32'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold 68'
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 89'

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