Premier League
Man Utd
May 3, 2026 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Matheus Cunha 6' goal
  • Benjamin Sesko 14' goal
  • Amad Diallo 46' yellowcard
  • Patrick Dorgu 75' yellowcard
  • Kobbie Mainoo 77' goal
  • Joshua Zirkzee 87' yellowcard
  • Leny Yoro 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Dominik Szoboszlai 47'
  • goal Cody Gakpo 56'
  • yellowcard Milos Kerkez 59'
  • yellowcard Rio Ngumoha 75'
  • yellowcard Federico Chiesa 87'
  • yellowcard Federico Chiesa 88'

Manchester United vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 8.00pm
Man Utd 2 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Hugo Ekitike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result

Manchester United 42.27% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 22.47%
Liverpool 35.26% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.22% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 15.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 64.47% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 2.5 35.53% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 42.13% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 57.87% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 26.7% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 73.3% ▲ (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 35.32%
Draw 39.68%
Liverpool 25%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 54.01% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Liverpool 42.17% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.14%
Equal 8 11.4%
Under 8 30.46%
Over 9 46.49%
Equal 9 11.65%
Under 9 41.86%
Over 10.5 35.57%
Under 10.5 64.43%

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 48.13% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 51.87% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 23.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 76.43% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 9.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 90.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 71.55% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 28.45% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 1.5 42.69% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 57.31% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 20.19% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 79.81% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 7.95% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92.05% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Manchester United 42.26%
Draw 22.47%
Liverpool 35.25%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 8.95% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.7% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 42.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75%
2-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.47%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 7.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 35.25%

Head to Head

Premier League
Liverpool
Oct 19, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Man Utd
Premier League Gameweek 20
Liverpool
Jan 5, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
Man Utd
  • Cody Gakpo 59' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 70' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 77' yellowcard
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 23'
  • goal Lisandro Martinez 52'
  • yellowcard Amad Diallo 54'
  • yellowcard Matthijs de Ligt 64'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 73'
  • goal Amad Diallo 80'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Man Utd
Sep 1, 2024 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Joshua Zirkzee 23' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 40' yellowcard
  • Kobbie Mainoo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthijs de Ligt 65' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Diaz 35'
  • goal Luis Diaz 42'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 55'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 56'
Club Friendlies 1
Man Utd
Aug 4, 2024 12.45am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Will Fish 69' yellowcard
  • Will Fish 69' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 10'
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 10'
  • goal Curtis Jones 36'
  • goal Curtis Jones 36'
  • goal Kostas Tsimikas 61'
  • goal Kostas Tsimikas 61'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Man Utd
Apr 7, 2024 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Bruno Fernandes 50' goal
  • Kobbie Mainoo 67' goal
  • Willy Kambwala 74' yellowcard
  • Andre Onana 80' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Antony 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 7'
  • goal Luis Diaz 23'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 84'
  • yellowcard Curtis Jones 89'
FA Cup
Man Utd
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
ET Old Trafford
Liverpool
  • Scott McTominay 10' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Antony 87' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 112' goal
  • Amad Diallo 116' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 120'+1' goal
  • Amad Diallo 120'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 31'
  • goal Alexis Mac Allister 44'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 60'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 105'
  • yellowcard Caoimhin Kelleher 109'

Form Data

Man Utd 2 - 1 Brentford
Chelsea 0 - 1 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 2 Leeds
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Man Utd
Man Utd 3 - 1 Aston Villa
Newcastle 2 - 1 Man Utd
Liverpool 3 - 1 Crystal Palace
Everton 1 - 2 Liverpool
Liverpool 0 - 2 PSG
Liverpool 2 - 0 Fulham
PSG 2 - 0 Liverpool
Man City 4 - 0 Liverpool

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