Premier League Gameweek 35
May 3, 2026 3.30pm
Old Trafford

Manchester United vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2026 8.00pm
Man Utd 2 - 1 Brentford
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Matheus Cunha

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Liverpool 3 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Hugo Ekitike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester United win with a probability of 42%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 35.47% and a draw has a probability of 22.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.78%).

Result

Manchester United 42% (-0.04)
Draw 22.53% (+0.05)
Liverpool 35.47% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.24%

Goals

Over 1.5 84.15% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 15.85% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 64.42%
Under 2.5 35.58%
Over 3.5 42.02% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 57.98% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 26.56% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 73.44% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Manchester United 35.21%
Draw 39.7%
Liverpool 25.09%

Team To Score First

Manchester United 53.74%
No Goal 3.83%
Liverpool 42.43%

Corners

Over 8 57.91%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 30.68%
Over 9 46.27%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 42.09%
Over 10.5 35.36%
Under 10.5 64.64%

Manchester United Goals

Over 1.5 47.92% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.08% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 23.38% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 76.62% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 9.37% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 90.63% (+0.04)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 71.76% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 28.24% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 42.87% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.13% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 20.26%
Under 2.5 79.74%
Over 3.5 7.97%
Under 3.5 92.03%

Score analysis

Manchester United 42%
Draw 22.53%
Liverpool 35.47%
Manchester United
2-1 @ 8.94% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.67%
2-0 @ 5.49%
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.99% (-0.03)
Total : 42%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.44%
0-0 @ 3.83%
3-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.53%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.35% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.59%
Total : 35.47%

Head to Head

Premier League
Oct 19, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 20
Jan 5, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Anfield
  • Cody Gakpo 59' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 70' goal
  • Darwin Nunez 77' yellowcard
  • Trent Alexander-Arnold 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 23'
  • goal Lisandro Martinez 52'
  • yellowcard Amad Diallo 54'
  • yellowcard Matthijs de Ligt 64'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 73'
  • goal Amad Diallo 80'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
  • Joshua Zirkzee 23' yellowcard
  • Lisandro Martinez 40' yellowcard
  • Kobbie Mainoo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthijs de Ligt 65' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Diaz 35'
  • goal Luis Diaz 42'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 55'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 56'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 4, 2024 12.45am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Old Trafford
  • Will Fish 69' yellowcard
  • Will Fish 69' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 10'
  • goal Fabio Carvalho 10'
  • goal Curtis Jones 36'
  • goal Curtis Jones 36'
  • goal Kostas Tsimikas 61'
  • goal Kostas Tsimikas 61'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 7, 2024 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Old Trafford
  • Bruno Fernandes 50' goal
  • Kobbie Mainoo 67' goal
  • Willy Kambwala 74' yellowcard
  • Andre Onana 80' yellowcard
  • Mason Mount 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Antony 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Casemiro 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Conor Bradley 7'
  • goal Luis Diaz 23'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 84'
  • yellowcard Curtis Jones 89'
FA Cup
Mar 17, 2024 3.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
ET Old Trafford
  • Scott McTominay 10' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Antony 87' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 112' goal
  • Amad Diallo 116' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 120'+1' goal
  • Amad Diallo 120'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Alexis Mac Allister 31'
  • goal Alexis Mac Allister 44'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 60'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 105'
  • yellowcard Caoimhin Kelleher 109'