Champions League
Apr 14, 2026 8.00pm
Anfield

Liverpool vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 2 - 0 Liverpool

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 2 - 0 Liverpool

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain has a probability of 35.91% and a draw has a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (5.25%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 (7.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.53%).

Result

Liverpool 41.57%
Draw 22.49%
Paris Saint-Germain 35.91% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.16% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.73%
Under 1.5 15.27%
Over 2.5 65.34%
Under 2.5 34.66%
Over 3.5 44.43% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 55.57% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 28.93% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 71.07% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Liverpool 35.29%
Draw 37.12%
Paris Saint-Germain 27.59%

Team To Score First

Liverpool 52.34%
No Goal 3.58%
Paris Saint-Germain 44.08%

Corners

Over 8 54.68%
Equal 8 10.78%
Under 8 34.54%
Over 9 43.93%
Equal 9 10.75%
Under 9 45.32%
Over 10.5 34.02%
Under 10.5 65.98%

Liverpool Goals

Over 1.5 48.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.34% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.9%
Under 2.5 75.1%
Over 3.5 10.76%
Under 3.5 89.24%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 71.45% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 28.55% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 43.74% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.26% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.97% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.03% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.47% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Liverpool 41.57%
Draw 22.49%
Paris Saint-Germain 35.92%
Liverpool
2-1 @ 7.97% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.21% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.3%
Total : 41.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 6.64%
0-0 @ 3.58%
3-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.49%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.9% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.07% (-0.01)
Total : 35.92%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Désiré Doué 11' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 65' goal
  • Kang-in Lee 78' yellowcard
  • 78' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Isak 78'
  • yellowcard Cody Gakpo 78'
  • yellowcard 78'
  • yellowcard Curtis Jones 78'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 78'
  • yellowcard Alexander Isak 79'
  • yellowcard Curtis Jones 79'
  • yellowcard Trey Nyoni 90'+1'
Champions League
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
ET Anfield
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 12'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 46'
Champions League
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 70'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 87'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 87'
Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 28, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Juan Bernat 13' goal
  • Marco Verratti 24' yellowcard
  • Neymar 37' goal
  • Neymar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 17'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 34'
  • goal James Milner 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sturridge 84'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 90'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 90'
  • yellowcard Naby Keita 90'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 18, 2018 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Virgil van Dijk 27' yellowcard
  • Daniel Sturridge 30' goal
  • James Milner 36' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 90' goal
  • goal Thomas Meunier 40'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 45'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 83'