Champions League
Apr 8, 2026 8.00pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Liverpool

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 26.05% and a draw has a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.12%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 52.61% (+5.25)
Draw 21.33% (-1.05)
Liverpool 26.05% (-4.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.81% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.1% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 15.9% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 64.49% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 35.47% (-1.19)
Over 3.5 42.99% (+0.75)
Under 3.5 57.01% (-0.75)
Over 4.5 27.93% (+1.08)
Under 4.5 72.07% (-1.08)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 42.08% (+3.66)
Draw 36.33% (-0.97)
Liverpool 21.6% (-2.68)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 59.65% (+3.43)
No Goal 3.77% (-0.17)
Liverpool 36.58% (-3.27)

Corners

Over 8 52.54% (-2.69)
Equal 8 11.66% (+0.44)
Under 8 35.8% (+2.25)
Over 9 41.12% (-2.91)
Equal 9 11.41% (+0.20)
Under 9 47.46% (+2.69)
Over 10.5 30.85% (-2.86)
Under 10.5 69.15% (+2.86)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 56.61% (+4.40)
Under 1.5 43.39% (-4.40)
Over 2.5 31.31% (+3.74)
Under 2.5 68.69% (-3.75)
Over 3.5 14.48% (+2.14)
Under 3.5 85.52% (-2.14)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 62.91% (-3.72)
Under 0.5 37.09% (+3.72)
Over 1.5 33.65% (-3.79)
Under 1.5 66.35% (+3.79)
Over 2.5 14.01% (-2.19)
Under 2.5 85.99% (+2.18)
Over 3.5 5.11% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 94.89% (+0.85)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 52.61%
Draw 21.33%
Liverpool 26.05%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.24% (+0.61)
1-0 @ 7.26% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 7.06% (+0.66)
3-1 @ 6.04% (+0.59)
3-0 @ 4.89% (+0.95)
3-2 @ 4.02% (+0.15)
Other @ 14.1% (+2.14)
Total : 52.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.49)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.32)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.17)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.38% (-0.02)
Total : 21.33%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.79)
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.63)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.67)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.59)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.31)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.37)
Other @ 4.73% (-0.84)
Total : 26.05%

Head to Head

Champions League
Mar 11, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
ET Anfield
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alexis Mac Allister 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 12'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 46'
Champions League
Mar 5, 2025 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marquinhos 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 70'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 87'
  • goal Harvey Elliott 87'
Champions League Gameweek 5
Nov 28, 2018 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Juan Bernat 13' goal
  • Marco Verratti 24' yellowcard
  • Neymar 37' goal
  • Neymar 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Georginio Wijnaldum 17'
  • yellowcard Joe Gomez 34'
  • goal James Milner 45'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sturridge 84'
  • yellowcard Virgil van Dijk 90'
  • yellowcard Andrew Robertson 90'
  • yellowcard Naby Keita 90'
Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 18, 2018 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Virgil van Dijk 27' yellowcard
  • Daniel Sturridge 30' goal
  • James Milner 36' goal
  • Roberto Firmino 90' goal
  • goal Thomas Meunier 40'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 45'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 83'