Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.05pm
Nice 0 - 4 PSG
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 4.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.2%. A draw has a probability of 21.74% and a win for Toulouse has a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.07%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.96%) , while for a Toulouse win it is 0-1 (4.95%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 60.2% (+0.04)
Draw 21.74%
Toulouse 18.06% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.9% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.06% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 20.94% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 56.83% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.17% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 34.83% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 65.17% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 21.78% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.22% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 41.77%
Draw 37.31%
Toulouse 20.92%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 59.42% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.46% (+0.04)
Toulouse 35.12% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.61%
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 34.02%
Over 9 43.3%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 45.39%
Over 10.5 32.95%
Under 10.5 67.05%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 57.62% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 42.38% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 31.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 68.93% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.77% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 86.23% (-0.04)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 54.19% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 45.81% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 22.84% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.16% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.27% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 92.73% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.05% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.95% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 60.21%
Draw 21.74%
Toulouse 18.06%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 10.54% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.07%
2-0 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.39% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 13.56% (+0.04)
Total : 60.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.46% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98%
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.74%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.84% (-0.03)
Total : 18.06%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2025 8.05pm
3
6
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Vincent Sierro 39' yellowcard
  • Umit Akdag 56' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 52'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Joao Neves 35' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 44' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beraldo 84' goal
  • Vitinha 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 43'
  • yellowcard Aron Donnum 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Kylian Mbappe 8' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 13'
  • goal Yann Gboho 68'
  • goal Frank Magri 90'+5'
Trophee des Champions
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Lee Kang-in 3' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 44' goal
  • Vitinha 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 45'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 87' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Kang-in 45'+1'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 62'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 81'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 85'