Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2026 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembélé 23' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 33' goal
  • João Neves 59' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 67' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 67' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 68' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 68' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 87' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 90'+2' goal
  • goal Rasmus Nicolaisen 27'
  • yellowcard Warren Kamanzi 67'
  • yellowcard Mario Sauer 83'
  • yellowcard Jacen Russell-Rowe 83'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Azizi 83'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 8.05pm
Nice 0 - 4 PSG
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 4.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.64% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.03%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 60.23% (+0.06)
Draw 21.64% (-0.15)
Toulouse 18.13% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.46% (+0.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.45% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 20.55% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 57.51% (+0.81)
Under 2.5 42.49% (-0.81)
Over 3.5 35.61% (+0.89)
Under 3.5 64.39% (-0.88)
Over 4.5 22.43% (+0.74)
Under 4.5 77.57% (-0.74)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 41.77%
Draw 37.31%
Toulouse 20.92%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 59.45% (+0.06)
No Goal 5.34% (-0.16)
Toulouse 35.21% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 54.35% (-0.26)
Equal 8 11.34% (-0.03)
Under 8 34.31% (+0.29)
Over 9 43.09% (-0.21)
Equal 9 11.25% (-0.07)
Under 9 45.65% (+0.26)
Over 10.5 32.8% (-0.16)
Under 10.5 67.2% (+0.16)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 58% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 42% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 31.54% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 68.46% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 14.13% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 85.87% (-0.43)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5 54.35% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 45.65% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 23.19% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 76.81% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 7.52% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 92.48% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 2.17% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 97.83% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 60.23%
Draw 21.63%
Toulouse 18.13%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.24)
2-1 @ 10.03% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.72% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.41% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 6.33% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (+0.10)
Other @ 13.91% (+0.42)
Total : 60.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.03% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 21.63%
Toulouse
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 4.78%
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.95% (+0.11)
Total : 18.13%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 30, 2025 8.05pm
3
6
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Vincent Sierro 39' yellowcard
  • Umit Akdag 56' yellowcard
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 52'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Joao Neves 35' goal
  • Achraf Hakimi 44' yellowcard
  • Lucas Beraldo 84' goal
  • Vitinha 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 43'
  • yellowcard Aron Donnum 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Kylian Mbappe 8' goal
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 13'
  • goal Yann Gboho 68'
  • goal Frank Magri 90'+5'
Trophee des Champions
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Lee Kang-in 3' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 44' goal
  • Vitinha 46' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernandez 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Suazo 45'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Zakaria Aboukhlal 87' goal
  • yellowcard Lee Kang-in 45'+1'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 62'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 81'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 85'