Ligue 1
Mar 21, 2026 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse
  • Emersonn 64' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 64' yellowcard
  • Warren Kamanzi 65' yellowcard
  • Emersonn 81' goal
  • Mario Sauer 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aiyegun Tosin 73'
  • yellowcard Sambou Soumano 73'
  • yellowcard Panos Katseris 79'

Toulouse vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 4.15pm
Metz 3 - 4 Toulouse
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Yann Gboho

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 4.00pm
Lorient 2 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result

Toulouse 39.16% (-0.08)
Draw 27.55%
Lorient 33.29% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.59% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.35%
Under 1.5 30.65%
Over 2.5 44.16%
Under 2.5 55.84% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 23.11%
Under 3.5 76.89%
Over 4.5 12.11% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.89% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Toulouse 27.42%
Draw 41.94%
Lorient 30.65%

Team To Score First

Toulouse 43.89%
No Goal 9.29%
Lorient 46.82%

Corners

Over 8 52.54%
Equal 8 11.99%
Under 8 35.48%
Over 9 40.81%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 47.46%
Over 10.5 30.28%
Under 10.5 69.72%

Toulouse Goals

Over 1.5 35.24% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.76% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.4% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.6% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 4.01%
Under 3.5 95.99%

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 65.23% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 34.77% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.02% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 68.98% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.17% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.36% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 96.64% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Toulouse 39.17%
Draw 27.55%
Lorient 33.29%
Toulouse
1-0 @ 11.42% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.42%
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 39.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 4.75%
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 27.55%
Lorient
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 7.51% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.32% (+0.01)
Total : 33.29%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 9, 2025 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Julien Ponceau 19' goal
  • Nathaniel Adjei 31' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moussa Diarra 38'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Aboukhlal 51'
  • goal Thijs Dallinga 59'
  • goal Ibrahim Cissoko 83'
  • yellowcard Vincent Sierro 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
  • Aron Donnum 1' yellowcard
  • Carles Martinez 2' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 72' goal
  • Vincent Sierro 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 9'
  • yellowcard Montassar Talbi 33'
  • yellowcard Julien Ponceau 71'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Mendy 83'
  • goal Bamba Dieng 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Zakaria Aboukhlal 68'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2022 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Rafael Ratao 31' goal
  • Thijs Dallinga 43' yellowcard
  • Thijs Dallinga 64' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 72' yellowcard
  • goal Armand Lauriente 2'
  • yellowcard Enzo Le Fee 23'
  • goal Ibrahima Kone 80'
Coupe de la Ligue
Oct 31, 2018 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Issiaga Sylla 28' yellowcard
  • Steeve Yago 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mamadou Kamissoko 32'
  • goal Abdoul Bila 74'