Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2026 4.00pm
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 4.15pm
Lille 1 - 1 Lorient
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
Lens 3 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Wesley Said

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 35.1% and a draw has a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Lorient win is 1-0 (8.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Lorient 35.1% (+0.22)
Draw 26.83% (-0.04)
Lens 38.07% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.34% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.92% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 25.08% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 50.99% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 49.01% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 28.63% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 71.37% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 15.79% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 84.21% (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Lorient 27.47% (+0.01)
Draw 41.54%
Lens 31% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Lorient 43.79% (+0.18)
No Goal 7.24% (-0.05)
Lens 48.97% (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 49.36% (-0.08)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 38.64% (+0.08)
Over 9 37.91% (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 50.65% (+0.08)
Over 10.5 27.86% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 72.14% (+0.07)

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 36.11% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 63.89% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 14.19% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 85.81% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 4.54% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 95.46% (-0.07)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 71.5% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 28.5% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 38.55% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.45% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 15.94% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 84.06% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.4% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.6% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lorient 35.09%
Draw 26.84%
Lens 38.07%
Lorient
1-0 @ 8.76% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.1% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.57% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.41% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.66% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.27% (+0.06)
Total : 35.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 26.84%
Lens
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.54%
Other @ 5.13% (-0.01)
Total : 38.07%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 2, 2025 4.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Elye Wahi 57' goal
  • Elye Wahi 58' yellowcard
  • David Costa 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 20'
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 20'
  • yellowcard Panos Katseris 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Joel Mvuka 40' yellowcard
  • Formose Mendy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Isaak Toure 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 48'
  • yellowcard Brice Samba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Angelo Fulgini 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 4.05pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Romain Faivre 6' goal
  • goal Florian Sotoca 20'
  • goal Adrien Thomasson 25'
  • goal Seko Fofana 87'
Coupe de France
Feb 9, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Enzo Le Fee 84' goal
  • goal Angelo Fulgini 21'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Florian Sotoca 24' goal
  • Wesley Said 28' goal
  • Salis Abdul Samed 57' goal
  • Jonathan Gradit 63' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 77' goal
  • Lois Openda 86' goal
  • goal Terem Moffi 41'
  • goal Terem Moffi 50'
  • yellowcard Dango Ouattara 58'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 60'
  • yellowcard Terem Moffi 64'