Ligue 1
Mar 14, 2026 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Bamba Dieng 18' goal
  • Aiyegun Tosin 64' yellowcard
  • Aiyegun Tosin 65' goal
  • Panos Katseris 81' yellowcard
  • Sambou Soumano 82' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Adjei 90' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Adjei 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Odsonne Édouard 48'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 68'
  • yellowcard Amadou Haidara 69'
  • yellowcard Andrija Bulatovic 73'
  • yellowcard Anthony Bermont 73'
  • yellowcard Rayan Fofana 84'
  • yellowcard Erawan Garnier 84'

Lorient vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 4.15pm
Lille 1 - 1 Lorient
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 2.00pm
Lens 3 - 0 Metz
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Wesley Said

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Lorient 35.13% (+0.07)
Draw 26.79%
Lens 38.11% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.44%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.01% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.99% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.09% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 48.91% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.71% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 71.29% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.83% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.17% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Lorient 27.47%
Draw 41.54%
Lens 31%

Team To Score First

Lorient 43.81%
No Goal 7.21% (+0.01)
Lens 48.98% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.43% (+0.07)
Equal 8 12.03% (+0.02)
Under 8 38.54% (-0.08)
Over 9 37.95% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.48% (+0.02)
Under 9 50.57% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 27.87% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.13% (-0.02)

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 36.18% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 63.82% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 14.23% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 85.77% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 4.56% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.44% (-0.02)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 71.54% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.46% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 38.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.4% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.96% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 84.04% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 5.41% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.59% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Lorient 35.12%
Draw 26.8%
Lens 38.1%
Lorient
1-0 @ 8.73% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 5.58% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 4.29% (+0.01)
Total : 35.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 7.21% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 26.8%
Lens
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.73%
0-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.55%
Other @ 5.14% (-0.03)
Total : 38.1%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 2, 2025 4.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 3, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Elye Wahi 57' goal
  • Elye Wahi 58' yellowcard
  • David Costa 81' goal
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 20'
  • yellowcard Tiemoue Bakayoko 20'
  • yellowcard Panos Katseris 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2023 4.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Joel Mvuka 40' yellowcard
  • Formose Mendy 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Isaak Toure 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 48'
  • yellowcard Brice Samba 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Angelo Fulgini 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 4.05pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Romain Faivre 6' goal
  • goal Florian Sotoca 20'
  • goal Adrien Thomasson 25'
  • goal Seko Fofana 87'
Coupe de France
Feb 9, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
ET Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Enzo Le Fee 84' goal
  • goal Angelo Fulgini 21'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 8.00pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Florian Sotoca 24' goal
  • Wesley Said 28' goal
  • Salis Abdul Samed 57' goal
  • Jonathan Gradit 63' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 77' goal
  • Lois Openda 86' goal
  • goal Terem Moffi 41'
  • goal Terem Moffi 50'
  • yellowcard Dango Ouattara 58'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 60'
  • yellowcard Terem Moffi 64'