Coupe de France
Mar 5, 2026 8.10pm
Groupama Stadium

Lyon vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Lens

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Lens has a probability of 28.65% and a draw has a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Lens win is 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.3%).

Result

Lyon 46.53% (-0.04)
Draw 24.82%
Lens 28.65% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.12%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.82% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 21.18% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 56.54%
Under 2.5 43.46%
Over 3.5 31.59% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 68.41% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 17.46% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 82.54% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Lyon 35.36%
Draw 39.54%
Lens 25.1%

Team To Score First

Lyon 53.86% (+0.09)
No Goal 5.47% (-0.02)
Lens 40.67% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 52.09% (-0.02)
Equal 8 11.64% (+0.03)
Under 8 36.27%
Over 9 40.75% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.91% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 30.56% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 69.44% (+0.04)

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 47.16% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 52.84% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 21.13% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 78.87% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.89%
Under 3.5 92.11%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 65.64% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 34.36% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 33.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.93% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 88.07% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.71% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.29% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Lyon 46.54%
Draw 24.81%
Lens 28.66%
Lyon
2-1 @ 10.3% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-1 @ 4.59% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.82%
Total : 46.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.74% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.81%
Lens
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.35% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.64% (-0.01)
Total : 28.66%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 16, 2025 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Moussa Niakhate 13' yellowcard
  • Malick Fofana 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Georges Mikautadze 79' goal
  • goal Goduine Koyalipou 21'
  • yellowcard Nampalys Mendy 54'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 64'
  • goal Anass Zaroury 85'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Ferdi Petit
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Ainsley Maitland-Niles 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 29'
  • goal Florian Sotoca 43'
  • goal Elye Wahi 53'
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 83'
  • goal Kevin Danso 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 4.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Wesley Said 26' goal
  • Deiver Machado 35' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 41' yellowcard
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 52' goal
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 74' goal
  • Florian Sotoca 90' redcard
  • goal Jake O'Brien 15'
  • goal Jake O'Brien 72'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alexandre Lacazette 23' goal
  • Rayan Cherki 64' goal
  • goal Deiver Machado 39'