Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Lyon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 20, 2026 7.45pm
Brest 2 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 7.45pm
Strasbourg 3 - 1 Lyon
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Pavel Sulc

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 26.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Lyon win is 1-2 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.02%).

Result

Marseille 49.3%
Draw 24.03%
Lyon 26.66%

Both Teams to Score: 

57%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.57%
Under 1.5 21.43%
Over 2.5 55.99%
Under 2.5 44.01%
Over 3.5 34%
Under 3.5 66%
Over 4.5 19.73%
Under 4.5 80.27%

First Half Winner

Marseille 35.85%
Draw 38.99%
Lyon 25.16%

Team To Score First

Marseille 53.68%
No Goal 5.74%
Lyon 40.58%

Corners

Over 8 52.66%
Equal 8 12.47%
Under 8 34.87%
Over 9 40.44%
Equal 9 12.22%
Under 9 47.34%
Over 10.5 29.51%
Under 10.5 70.49%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 49.42%
Under 1.5 50.58%
Over 2.5 23.84%
Under 2.5 76.16%
Over 3.5 9.34%
Under 3.5 90.66%

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5 63.3%
Under 0.5 36.7%
Over 1.5 31.08%
Under 1.5 68.92%
Over 2.5 11.5%
Under 2.5 88.5%
Over 3.5 3.52%
Under 3.5 96.48%

Score analysis

Marseille 49.3%
Draw 24.03%
Lyon 26.67%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.52%
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.42%
3-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 9.27%
Total : 49.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.03%
Lyon
1-2 @ 6.52%
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 26.67%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 31, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2025 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Michael Murillo 42' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 61' goal
  • Roberto De Zerbi 62' yellowcard
  • Adrien Rabiot 64' goal
  • Leonardo Balerdi 68' yellowcard
  • Luis Henrique 85' goal
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Derek Cornelius 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Corentin Tolisso 53'
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 72'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Gerard Houllier
  • Clinton Mata 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Duje Caleta-Car 53' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 59' yellowcard
  • Rayan Cherki 90'+3' goal
  • Duje Caleta-Car 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Rayan Cherki 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 1'
  • redcard Leonardo Balerdi 5'
  • yellowcard Roberto De Zerbi 45'+8'
  • goal Pol Lirola 69'
  • goal Ulisses Garcia 82'
  • yellowcard Neal Maupay 90'+3'
  • goal Jon Rowe 90'+5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Alexandre Lacazette 37' goal
  • Jake O'Brien 40' yellowcard
  • Nemanja Matic 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Azzedine Ounahi 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Dec 6, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Vitor Oliveira 21' goal
  • Michael Murillo 25' goal
  • Azzedine Ounahi 49' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 55' goal
  • yellowcard Dejan Lovren 21'
  • yellowcard Mahamadou Diawara 87'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
Apr 23, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Alexandre Lacazette 68' goal
  • goal Cengiz Under 44'
  • goal Malo Gusto 90'+2' (OG)