Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Brest had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.22%) and 0-2 (5.86%). The likeliest Brest win was 2-1 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.