Ligue 1
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstrlog.png)
-
Mason Greenwood
14'
-
Amine Gouiri
47'
-
Himad Abdelli
71'
-
Igor Paixão
71'
-
Facundo Medina
85'
-
Abdoul Ouattara
46'
-
Sebastian Nanasi
63'
-
Gessime Yassine
64'
-
Sebastian Nanasi
73'
-
David Datro Fofana
85'
-
Joaquín Panichelli
90'+7'
-
Aarón Anselmino
90'+8'
Marseille vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F12%2Fpierre-emile-hojbjerg-6934acaf29b8f372906039.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result
Marseille
49.52%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
23.74%
▲
(+0.03)
Strasbourg
26.74%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
57.79%
▲
(+0.15)
Goals
Over 1.5
80.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
19.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
58.26%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
41.74%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
35.88%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
64.12%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
21.14%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
78.86%
▼
(-0.04)
First Half Winner
Marseille
37.18%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
38.14%
▼
(-0.02)
Strasbourg
24.67%
▼
(-0.01)
Team To Score First
Marseille
54.08%
▲
(+0.05)
No Goal
4.95%
▼
(-0.02)
Strasbourg
40.97%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
47.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Equal 8
12.55%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
40.35%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 9
35.34%
Equal 9
11.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
52.9%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 10.5
25.24%
Under 10.5
74.76%
Marseille Goals
Over 1.5
51.06%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
48.94%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
25.46%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
74.54%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
10.44%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
89.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5
63.66%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
36.34%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
32.32%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
67.68%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
12.2%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
87.8%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
3.77%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
96.23%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Marseille
49.51%
Draw
23.75%
Strasbourg
26.73%
Marseille
2-1
@
9.31%
1-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 49.51%
1-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 49.51%
Draw
1-1
@
10.65%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.75%
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.75%
Strasbourg
1-2
@
6.91%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.73%
Head to Head
Ligue 1
Ligue 1
Gameweek
18
-
Emanuel Emegha
23'
-
Mason Greenwood
68'
-
Pol Lirola
71'
-
Robinio Vaz
90'+3'
-
Lilian Brassier
90'+5'
-
Emanuel Emegha
26'
-
Guela Doue
28'
-
Felix Lemarechal
42'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
6
-
Liam Rosenior
7'
-
Diego Moreira
40'
-
Ismael Doukoure
56'
-
Guela Doue
68'
-
Adrien Rabiot
75'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
18
-
Samuel Gigot
3'
-
Bamo Meite
34'
-
Bilal Nadir
84'
-
Samuel Gigot
90'+6'
-
Marvin Senaya
77'
-
Jeremy Sebas
90'+2'
-
Ismael Doukoure
90'+6'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
13
-
Emanuel Emegha
6'
-
Dilane Bakwa
89'
-
Jonathan Clauss
27'
-
Renan Lodi
54'
-
Jordan Veretout
90'+1'
Ligue 1
Gameweek
27
-
Chancel Mbemba
49'
-
Alexis Sanchez
76'
-
Jean-Eudes Aholou
88'
-
Jean-Eudes Aholou
89'