Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2026 4.00pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 7.45pm
PSG 5 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 4.15pm
Le Havre 2 - 1 Strasbourg
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Martial Godo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Strasbourg has a probability of 26.7% and a draw has a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Strasbourg win is 1-2 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.64%).

Result

Marseille 49.59%
Draw 23.71% (+0.02)
Strasbourg 26.7% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.75% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.19% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.81% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 58.3% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 41.7% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 35.88% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 64.12% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 21.14% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 78.86% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Marseille 37.18% (-0.03)
Draw 38.14% (+0.04)
Strasbourg 24.67% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Marseille 54.09% (+0.06)
No Goal 4.94% (-0.02)
Strasbourg 40.97% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47.1% (-0.05)
Equal 8 12.55% (-0.01)
Under 8 40.35% (+0.07)
Over 9 35.34% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.76% (-0.01)
Under 9 52.9% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 25.24% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 74.76% (+0.04)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 51.1% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.9% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.49% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 74.51% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.46%
Under 3.5 89.54%

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 63.6% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.4% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 32.27% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 67.73% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 12.17% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 87.83% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.76%
Under 3.5 96.24%

Score analysis

Marseille 49.58%
Draw 23.7%
Strasbourg 26.7%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.65%
3-1 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 10.14%
Total : 49.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.64% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.26% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.7%
Strasbourg
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-1 @ 5.87% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 26.7%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Emanuel Emegha 23' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 68' goal
  • Pol Lirola 71' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Emegha 26'
  • yellowcard Guela Doue 28'
  • yellowcard Felix Lemarechal 42'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Liam Rosenior 7' yellowcard
  • Diego Moreira 40' goal
  • Ismael Doukoure 56' yellowcard
  • Guela Doue 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Samuel Gigot 3' goal
  • Bamo Meite 34' yellowcard
  • Bilal Nadir 84' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gigot 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvin Senaya 77'
  • goal Jeremy Sebas 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ismael Doukoure 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Emanuel Emegha 6' goal
  • Dilane Bakwa 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 27'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 54'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chancel Mbemba 49' goal
  • Alexis Sanchez 76' goal
  • goal Jean-Eudes Aholou 88'
  • goal Jean-Eudes Aholou 89'