Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Marseille
Feb 14, 2026 4.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Vélodrome
Strasbourg
  • Mason Greenwood 14' goal
  • Benjamin Pavard 26' yellowcard
  • Nayef Aguerd 42' yellowcard
  • Amine Gouiri 47' goal
  • Himad Abdelli 71' yellowcard
  • Igor Paixão 71' yellowcard
  • Igor Paixão 72' yellowcard
  • Facundo Medina 85' yellowcard
  • Timothy Weah 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdoul Ouattara 46'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nanasi 63'
  • yellowcard Gessime Yassine 64'
  • goal Sebastian Nanasi 73'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Panichelli 83'
  • yellowcard David Datro Fofana 85'
  • goal Joaquín Panichelli 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Panichelli 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Aarón Anselmino 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Valentín Barco 90'+9'

Marseille vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 7.45pm
PSG 5 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Mason Greenwood

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 4.15pm
Le Havre 2 - 1 Strasbourg
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Joaquín Panichelli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-2 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Marseille 49.52% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 23.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Strasbourg 26.74% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.79% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 58.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 41.74% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 35.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 64.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 21.14% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 78.86% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Marseille 37.18% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 38.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Strasbourg 24.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Marseille 54.08% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Strasbourg 40.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 40.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 35.34%
Equal 9 11.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 52.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 25.24%
Under 10.5 74.76%

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 51.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.94% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 25.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.54% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 10.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.56% ▲ (+0.02)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 63.66% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 0.5 36.34% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 1.5 32.32% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 67.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 12.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 87.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 3.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.23% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Marseille 49.51%
Draw 23.75%
Strasbourg 26.73%
Marseille
2-1 @ 9.31%
1-0 @ 8.99% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 10.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 49.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 23.75%
Strasbourg
1-2 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 3.62%
1-3 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.73%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Strasbourg
Sep 26, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
Marseille
  • Emmanuel Emegha 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Abdoul Ouattara 49' goal
  • Samuel Christian Osaze Amo-Ameyaw 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nayef Aguerd 24'
  • yellowcard Amir Murillo 27'
  • yellowcard Matt O'Riley 38'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 45'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 78'
  • goal Amir Murillo 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Marseille
Jan 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg
  • Emanuel Emegha 23' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 68' goal
  • Pol Lirola 71' yellowcard
  • Robinio Vaz 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Lilian Brassier 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emanuel Emegha 26'
  • yellowcard Guela Doue 28'
  • yellowcard Felix Lemarechal 42'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Strasbourg
Sep 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Meinau
Marseille
  • Liam Rosenior 7' yellowcard
  • Diego Moreira 40' goal
  • Ismael Doukoure 56' yellowcard
  • Guela Doue 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adrien Rabiot 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Marseille
Jan 12, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
Strasbourg
  • Samuel Gigot 3' goal
  • Bamo Meite 34' yellowcard
  • Bilal Nadir 84' yellowcard
  • Samuel Gigot 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvin Senaya 77'
  • goal Jeremy Sebas 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ismael Doukoure 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 13
Strasbourg
Nov 25, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Meinau
Marseille
  • Emanuel Emegha 6' goal
  • Dilane Bakwa 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 27'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 54'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 90'+1'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Marseille
Mar 12, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Strasbourg
  • Chancel Mbemba 49' goal
  • Alexis Sanchez 76' goal
  • goal Jean-Eudes Aholou 88'
  • goal Jean-Eudes Aholou 89'

Form Data

PSG 5 - 0 Marseille
Marseille 3 - 0 Rennes
Paris FC 2 - 2 Marseille
Brugge 3 - 0 Marseille
Marseille 3 - 1 Lens
Marseille 0 - 3 Liverpool
Le Havre 2 - 1 Strasbourg
Strasbourg 3 - 1 Monaco
Strasbourg 1 - 2 PSG
Lille 1 - 4 Strasbourg
Strasbourg 2 - 1 Metz
Avranches 0 - 6 Strasbourg