Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (9.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%).